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The withdrawal of Accendo banking license does not represent a risk for the stabilility of the banking system. This was confirmed by the Financial System Stability Board as it stressed that the fundamentals of the system remain sound. However, concerns about the weakness of the credit granted to the private sector prevail.
As some signs of an economic slowdown lurked in June, households were unable to consolidate their spending pattern and, once again, contributed to an increase of total bank deposits. Corporates unexpectedly supported this increase possibly influenced by the outlook of higher interest rates.
Slightly more than half of the upturn in bank deposits between February 2020 and April 2021 can be explained by the increase in demand deposits from individuals. How much longer will this trend last? The answer will be known in the coming months. However, May data give us a hint.
At present the significant growth in demand deposits has more than offset the slump of term deposits. Given that the rise in demand deposits can be related to temporary factors, the underlying question is: To what extent and how fast will households and companies reduce their accumulated liquid balances as COVID cases drop?
The last weekend of March saw the Spanish Government make the isolation measures in the country more restrictive, bringing a halt to all non-essential activity in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. Activities considered essential include those carried out by financial services companies, including banks.
Bank assets growth picked up to 7.7% in Q3 2019 supported by a higher loan growth rate. Assets quality worsened and diverged among big and smaller banks. Capital adequacy ratio dropped on faster growth in risk-weighted assets, small banks are facing deteriorating conditions in funding through NCDs and bond market.
Under BRRD 2, European banks’ MREL deficit is €112bn (63% attributable to O-SIIs and non-systemic banks) and €188bn lower than 2018 results, mostly explained by issuances of €194bn during 2018–2019. Erosion of profitability is now critical, with interest expense increasing 2.3-3.2%. Basel IV significantly increase needs.
The announcement of the launch of Libra, the digital currency that Facebook plans to implement, has sparked interest, concern and, above all, great uncertainty about its viability as a business and its financial and social impact.