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As in the previous two meetings, the Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM) decided to hike the SELIC rate by 50bp to 12.75% (vs. 7.25% two years ago). The remaining uncertainties about the government's ability to deliver a fiscal adjustment amid a turbulent political environment, the ongoing weakening of the Brazilian real (the…

As widely expected, the monetary authority announced yesterday after financial markets closed in Brazil that policy rates will remain at 11%. We expect the BCB to maintain the SELIC rate at the current level at least until the end of the year. On the one hand, weak growth and the imminence of presidential elections limit th…