BBVA Research presented at NBER Fall 2022 in the conference Innovative Data in Household Finance: Opportunities and Challenges.
Big data analysis
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In November, our real-time indicator for household consumption behavior fell 2.3% YoY in real terms. The slowdown is generalized by type of goods and services and by city. At the end of the month, some disccount sales boosted electronic purchases and the use of credit cards.
In September, total consumption with BBVA cards fell 9.4% YoY in real terms. Most of the categories contracted their average real spending level per transaction, remaining below the pre-pandemic level. Our indicators point to a flattening of ec…
Our Big Data high frequency indicator to measure household consumption in Colombia shows a decelerating trend, which has become steeper in the second half of the year. Household expenditure moderation has been driven mainly by goods (in contra…
We aim to improve our existing Monthly GDP Nowcasting Model in order to draw a leading and more accurate picture of the economic activity in real time in Türkiye. In addition, we also generate a reliable in-house «Weekly GDP Tracker» to comp…
In August, total consumption with BBVA cards fell 2.9% YoY in real terms, thus returning to negative ground after July's increase. Most of the items contracted after the good performance they had had last month.
Total consumption with BBVA cards grew 6.5% YoY in July in real terms, reversing the negative performance of June, as did the great majority of categories.
In July, household consumption continued its deceleration process, which was generalized to all cities and types of spending. The greater moderation in the purchase of goods compared to services stood out, although the latter also presented low…
In June, total consumption with BBVA cards, in real terms, fell 4.2% YoY, the lowest value since February 2021. Spending declines are evident in all categories.
We construct five sentiment measures based on the GDELT database, representing the Tone, Optimism, Attention, Tone Dispersion, and Emotional Polarity of Chinese stock markets. All these news media sentiment measures are shown to have significan…
In June, consumption moderated despite a VAT-free day with a significant positive impact. Spending on services slowed the most. Still, consumption growth remains at high rates.
In May, total consumption with BBVA cards, in real terms, grew 10.2% YoY. The latest data from our real time indicators show a weakness in the economic recovery process.