The end of the extended truce of the Hamas-Israel conflict has resulted in a rapid intensification of the conflict. This is reflected in conflict and Geopolitical indicators, which remain mostly high or extreme, while Political tensions, Protest and Economic Policy Uncertainty are overall neutral or low.
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November 30, 2023
Global | BBVA Research Geopolitical Monitor: NLP for Event Tracking and Sentiment Analysis
The BBVA Research geopolitical monitor gathers real-time geopolitical indicators constructed from news processed with NLP, which allow for monitoring the media reaction to geopolitical and social events. This note has been published in the European Money and Finance Forum (SUERF).
The recent truce extension between Hamas and Israel, following extensive diplomatic talks involving multiple nations, led to Hamas releasing 17 hostages in Gaza, including a 4-year-old American girl. In return, Israel freed 39 Palestinian priso…
Israeli forces continue ground operations in northern Gaza, searching a hospital for alleged Hamas militants. Talks of a potential exchange of 50 hostages for a 3-day ceasefire to aid Gaza civilians are ongoing, but remain fragile. Meanwhile, t…
The BBVA Research Big Data Consumption Indicator (BBVA BDCI) grew 0.5% MaM in October, with real figures adjusted for seasonality
Israe's Gaza offensive persists with over 11,000 deaths since October, according to Gaza's Health Ministry. Humanitarian pauses, led by Qatar and Egypt, facilitated hostage talks. The Western response remains varied amid the complex international dynamics.
Presentation given at the "Economic Predicitions with Big Data" event organized by FUNCAS. In this presentation we discuss the use of natural language processing and large language models for economic and social analysis.
Following last week's massive attack in Gaza strip, Israeli forces will concentrate now in Gaza city. The death toll surpasses 10,000 after four weeks of war, according to the Gaza Health Ministry. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has stated t…
Following Benjamin Netanyahu's announcement to initiate the second phase of the Israeli operation in Gaza, Big Data geopolitical indicators continue to show very high tensions in the Middle East. However, some have moderated outside of that reg…
Following the Hamas-Israel attack, BBVA's Geopolitical Sentiment indexes deteriorated, impacting the Middle East as well as the West. As tension rises, the protest index for the Middle East and Europe show higher levels, while the Economic Poli…
Presentation for the Conference on Real-Time Data Analysis, Methods, and Applications hosted by Bank of Spain. We apply National accounting principles to obtain real-time, high-frequency Big Data consumption indicators with many applications.
Following the Hamas-Israel attack, BBVA's Geopolitical Sentiment indexes deteriorated, impacting the Middle East as well as the West. As tension rises, the protest index for the Middle East and Europe show higher levels, while the Economic Political Uncertainty index remains neutral.