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July 3, 2019

Geo-World: Conflict & Protest June 2019

In June, the dispute between Iran and the United States faced with risky attempts including downing a U.S. drone. European political agenda will be worth monitoring even in the next month due to busy political calendar especially in the U.K. and in Italy. U.S. and China are seeking ways to reinstate trade talks.

June 4, 2019

Geo-World: Conflict & Protest May 2019

The escalation of disputes between Tehran and Washington created the major concern in the global geopolitical agenda. Europeans voted to elect their representatives in the European Parliament. British PM has resigned. The trade dispute between China and the United States could not be resolved yet.

April 29, 2019

Pension system in Spain: proposal of three indicators

BBVA Research proposes the creation of 3 monthly updatable indicators that help to understand the evolution of the Spanish pension system and the problems that arise. The first indicator deals with "financial sustainability (ISF)." The second indicator is "benefit rate," while the third indicator measures the public's senti…

December 17, 2018

Insurance Outlook. Second semester 2018

Insurance sector is going to gain momentum in the next two years given the improvement in households' income and the decrease in unemployment. Climate change implies an economic cost for the insurance companies, financial sector and the economy as a whole.

May 28, 2018

Insurance Outlook. First semester 2018

Insurance projections for 2018 and 2019 show a general improvement, once corrected the volatility in the life savings branch during 2017. Insurance online purchases are still very low in Spain compared with the European Union, but their growth is very significant. According to BBVA big data, car insurance is the most purcha…

May 9, 2018

Measuring Retail Trade using Card Transactional Data

We construct a high-dimensionality Retail Trade Index (RTI) constructed to nowcast the retail trade sector economic performance in Spain using data from BBVA clientS from their credit or debit card transactions at Spanish point of sale terminals. Results indexes are robust when compared with the Spanish RTI, regional RTI, a…

May 8, 2018

China | Detecting China’s Financial Vulnerabilities

On the backdrop of a solid growth in Q1, the China Vulnerability Sentiment Index broadly remained stable driven by SOE and Shadow banking Vunerability index, despite the new emerging risk of Sino-US trade tensions. However, Housing Bubble and Exchange Rate Vulnerability index deteriorated as property prices remained resilie…

April 6, 2018

Monitoring social and geopolitical events with Big Data

In this presentation, we show how to monitor social and geopolitical events with Big Data with a special focus on the refugee crisis.