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It is important to understand what was going on in the past year’s BoP abnormalities and to predict this year’s BoP items while investigating the sustainability of these abnormalities.

Direct investment flows to Argentina have historically been around 2% of GDP, with the exception of the 1990s when, due to the privatisations of public companies, they were higher. In our ranking of reception and potential attraction of FDI, it is evident that Argentina has not been favoured with large capital flows.

GDP growth continues in moderate pace. Food inflation keeps the headline high but it will ease somehow in summer. CBT continues to fund mostly on LLW, keeping the average funding just below 12%.