Europe | How is the banking sector facing up to the war in Ukraine?
Despite limited exposures, we are likely to see impairments in banks' loan portfolios, an increase in the operational risk resulting from sanctions and a fall in profitability of the most-exposed banks which, in some cases, could erode part of their capital.
Although the NPL ratio in the banking system declined as banks sped up the disposal of bad loans, asset risk remained high amid the repeated pandemic threats and the slow recovery. The risks associated with Evergrande’s fallout are manageable although it will take a longer time for the banking sector to absorb the shock.
Europe | European banking: increasing the stress on an already stressed scenario
On July 30, the European Banking Authority (EBA) published the results of the stress tests it regularly carries out on the major European Union banks. The top 50 banks (covering 70% of total EU banking assets) were analyzed for a baseline and an adverse scenario over a three-year horizon.
Global | A vector autoregressive model for banking stress testing
We describe the Risk-GVAR 1.0, a Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) macroeconometric model designed to lend support to the internal stress testing exercises that banks, complying with prudential regulations, perform periodically to assess the adequacy of their current levels of capital.
Investment is one of the key factors of an economy because it not only determines the current level of GDP but it is crucial to define the future growth rate because it is through investment that the capital stock of a country is increased
Investment in Mexico has been falling in recent years. This is a worrying trend. This component of aggregate demand is of fundamental importance since it determines the long-term productive capacity and, therefore, the potential growth rate of the economy.