Consumer Price Index (CPI)

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December's inflation increased to 3.4%, driven by a monthly variation of 0.3%. At 3.9%, core inflation rose by 0.3% month-on-month, influenced by used cars and shelter; the latter remains a key factor for the expected decline in inflation in the coming months.

In October, U.S. CPI dropped to 3.2% YoY, a 0.5% decrease driven by stable headline inflation, lower-than-expected core print, and reduced housing and energy prices. Anticipating continued cooling, 4Q is expected to average 3.4% YoY for headline inflation and 4.0% for core inflation.