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October 18, 2019

Colombia continues to recover with few external tailwinds

The Colombian economy will continue to consolidate its growth at a slow pace, in a context of strong external headwinds. Globally, our growth forecasts have declined for some of our trading partners due to a more negative external environment.

October 10, 2019

A New Colombian Consumer: Habits and Trends

The trends of Colombian consumers in the last 10 years have been changing. The structure, income, purchasing power and consumption habits have been fundamental when profiling a new Colombian consumer.

September 13, 2019

The Mexican financial system has shown an orderly adjustment to a complicated environment

Through the “Financial Stability Report” (REF), Banco de México (Banxico) monitors the main risks and vulnerabilities that could affect the stability of the Mexican financial system.

August 1, 2019

Mexico | There are 1.65 million households that receive remittances, 4.7% of the total

27% of remittances-receiving households are in the two lower income deciles, and 12.7% in the two upper deciles. Households that received remittances have a consumption pattern very similar to the national average. 36.0% of the expenditure went to food, beverages and tobacco, and 18.6% in transportation and communication.

February 19, 2019

Castile and Leon Economic Outlook 2019

The economy of Castile and León Aragon may have grown 2.2% in 2018, and will reach 2.3% in 2019, to moderate to 1.9% in 2020. It will create over 35,000 new jobs by 2020, although some risks are more likely to materialize now, than they were some months ago. Total employment will be still far from its pre-crisis level. Incl…

October 31, 2018

Aragon Outlook and Prospects. Fourth quarter 2018

Aragon could grow by 2.8% in 2018 and 2.7% in 2019 in an export-friendly environment, with investment plans underway and a favourable economic policy. Uncertainty remains at high levels.

October 4, 2018

Turkey | A big upside surprise on inflation

CPI increased 6.3% (mom) in September, significantly higher than our and market expectations (3.9% vs. 3.4%). This leads the annual figure to jump to 24.5% from 17.9% in August. Today’s inflation data shows that pricing behavior is adjusting faster than expected and this could be considered as a “factor affecting inflation …

July 23, 2018

China Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2018

Q2 GDP moderated to 6.7% y/y amid the trade war and domestic deleveraging, down from the previous reading at 6.8% y/y and in line with the consensus. In particular, outturns of trade, industrial production and investment are below the market expectations and the previous readings. Headwinds are from domestic deleveraging in…