Publications

Here are all of our publications listed chronologically. You can also find the publications relating to single geography under “Publications by geography” or narrow down your search using the “Advanced filter”.

Latest publications on Democratic

U.S. Elections Chartbook. December 2020

December 8, 2020

As we predicted, Biden won the 2020 presidential election. Gains among non-college educated white men edged Biden to victory in swing states despite a lower margin of victory among non-whites.

China | The impact of Biden’s victory on Chinese economy and the Sino-US relationship

November 11, 2020

A cautiously positive attitude might be more adoptable regarding the short-term Sino-US relation; however, for the long-term perspective, we do not have sufficient reasons so far to deny any pessimism on the bilateral relationship going forward.

U.S. Elections Chartbook. October 2020

October 30, 2020

Motivating disaffected voters in key swing states could determine the election. Preliminary data suggests Democrats have commanding lead in early mail-in voting. Available early in-person voting shows Republicans have an edge.

U.S. Elections Chartbook. September 2020

September 24, 2020

President’s approval ratings continue recovering, but remain below pre-Covid levels. With most states taking steps to accommodate the Covid-19 crisis, 78% of voters will have the option to cast an absentee ballot without any limitation.

U.S. 2020 Presidential Election: No easy cures

July 21, 2020

The 2020 presidential election will be highly influenced by the health crisis, the economic recession, polarization and microtargeting. Based on polling data and in-house models, the Democrats are the odds-on-favorite to win the Presidency and the House, and could possibly flip the Senate.

U.S. Elections Chartbook. December 2019

December 19, 2019

Seven candidates qualified for the Democratic debate on 12/19. Party nomination starts with Iowa Caucus on February 3, 2020. Super Tuesday on March 3; over 50% of delegates by end of March.

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