The health crisis is causing an unprecedented collapse in consumption. Spending on durable goods loses in three months what it has regained in seven years. The decline in vehicle purchase intentions anticipates a significant contraction in demand in 2020, which will rebound in 2021.
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The running out of tailwinds, the smaller increase in financial wealth and consumer financing and the rise in uncertainty will slow down the growth household consumption expenditure to 1.8% in 2019 and 1.7% in 2020
Consumption growth, following steady progress in H2 2018, will slow to 2.1% in 2019 and to 1.8% in 2020 as a result of a lower contribution of financial wealth, a disappearance of pent-up demand and increased uncertainty. Fiscal stimuli, increa…
Private consumption surprised on the upside in early 2018. Growth will pick up to 2.6% in 2018, slowing to 2.1% in 2019. Incomes, housing wealth and credit will continue to show strength. The fiscal impulse included in the Peruvian annual budge…
Private consumption lost prominence in 2017. Its progress will slow down to around 2% in 2018-2019 due to the reduced momentum of its determining factors and the repercussions of economic policy uncertainty.