economy latest publications

May 6, 2020

Monitoring Covid-19 pandemic using Big Data from the media

Media stress, positively correlated with new infections, has eased off lately. Sectors’ stresses vary depending on their nature. Politics is the center of the debate. Media stress related to governments diminishes as they start lifting lockdown measures, but there is a bias between the international and the national one.

March 26, 2020

When will the U.S. economy recover from the infection?

The current crisis represents an unprecedented risk to the U.S. economy as the fallout from the coronavirus has created a confluence of supply- and demand-side shocks coupled with a financial meltdown.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

March 25, 2020

Mexico | Impact of Covid-19 on the economy: inaction is more dangerous than overreaction

This is a time when decisions must be made quickly; what is decided will have significant consequences. Drastic measures to ensure that people isolate are urgent, “desirable” and absolutely necessary.

September 27, 2019

Colombia| Economic analysis: competition and work more than welcome

A new Congress initiative seeks to create a barrier to the active and competitive participation of economists in issues related to the profession, creating rents to particular institutions and limiting the arrival of new voices to the arena. We insist that the Congress agenda should rather be used in more urgent maters.

July 30, 2018

Turkey Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2018

Turkish financial assets remain under stress. The level and the duration of adjustment in the economy will depend on the policy reactions in the short term. Inflation reached alarming levels on last year´s loose policies, high inertia and second round effects. Both fiscal policy and monetary policy should complement each o…

April 16, 2018

European Central Bank's monetary policy tone index

This Economic Watch introduces the European Central Bank's (ECB) Monetary Policy Tone index developed from ECB documents, using text mining and Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques. This analysis allows us to objectively identify and track the relevant thehmes within the ECB’s monetary policy discourse.

April 10, 2018

Spain Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018

The Spanish economy will grow 2.9% in 2018 and 2.5% in 2019, above those forecasted three months ago. The favorable external environment and the lower long-term financing cost offset the impact of economic policy uncertainty. This scenario is consistent with the creation of one million jobs and the reduction of the unemploy…

March 27, 2018

China | 'Trading' blows with the U.S.

This watch examines the potential effects of the ongoing US-China trade clash on the Chinese economy. At its current stage, given a trade skirmish rather than a full-blown trade war, the downside risk to the Chinese economy seems contained. However, the Middle Kingdom stands to take a deeper hit in the event of a protracted…