Publications

Here are all of our publications listed chronologically. You can also find the publications relating to single geography under “Publications by geography” or narrow down your search using the “Advanced filter”.

Latest publications on Elections

US | 29.7 million registered voters are Latino, 13.6% of the total

November 3, 2026

Following the drop recorded in August, remittances to Mexico returned to growth in September (+1.6%). The Pew Research Center estimated that 48% of Latino votes in 2024 went to Trump. In the November 2026 elections, Latino voting intent leans more heavily toward Democratic candidates.

Peru | The choice behind the election

April 13, 2026

The article contrasts the Peruvian institutional instability with the solidity of the Central Reserve Bank under Julio Velarde. Given his possible succession, the urgency of preserving monetary autonomy and the technical training of its staff to avoid future crises is emphasized.

Mexico | Remittances total 5 falls in 2024, contract 1.6% in October

December 2, 2024

The information is as of the close of October 31, 2024, before the presidential elections in the United States were held and President Trump's victory was announced. Therefore, there is no possible "Trump" effect in this data.

Mexico | Volatility in remittances, fall 4.6%. At risk due to US elections?

November 1, 2024

Remittances show high volatility in the first 9 months of 2024: 5 months with growth and 4 months with falls. Possibly, the tense electoral environment in the US has an impact on the flow of new migrants and the migrant population residing in that country.

US | Elections and inflation

September 23, 2024

The upcoming presidential elections in the US will be, without doubt, one of the most epic political and economic milestones in recent times.

Mexico | The Latino vote account for 14% of voters in the next US elections

November 1, 2022

Remittances add up to a streak of 29 consecutive months of growth, which began in May 2020. Latinos constitute up to 34.3 million voters in the US, 14.0% of the voter registry in the elections on November 8, surpassing the self-identified population as only African American, Asian, and Native American.

U.S. Elections Chartbook. December 2020

December 8, 2020

As we predicted, Biden won the 2020 presidential election. Gains among non-college educated white men edged Biden to victory in swing states despite a lower margin of victory among non-whites.

U.S. | Difficult road ahead for Biden administration, but light at the end of the tunnel

November 11, 2020

Preliminary results from the 2020 general election map a trajectory in which Democrats have narrowly flipped the “blue wall” states which went to Trump in 2016 and created a buffer by winning Nevada, Arizona and Georgia.

Mexico | 5 pending issues on the U.S. immigration agenda with Mexico, 2021-2024

November 3, 2020

1) the expansion of the border wall, 2) the possible tax on remittances, 3) the policy of apprehensions and the migration discourse, 4) the future of the Dreamers, and 5) the policy for asylum seekers, mainly Central Americans, and the program "Stay in Mexico."

U.S. Elections Chartbook. October 2020

October 30, 2020

Motivating disaffected voters in key swing states could determine the election. Preliminary data suggests Democrats have commanding lead in early mail-in voting. Available early in-person voting shows Republicans have an edge.

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