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Colombia’s automotive sector showed signs of recovery in 2024, with a 7.9% sales increase driven by utility vehicles and taxis. Domestic production declined significantly, while imports grew. Improved macroeconomic conditions are expected to further boost the sector in 2025 and 2026.

Private consumption growth will exceed 2023 levels (1.8%) in both 2024 (2.5%) and 2025 (2.1%), driven by positive underlying fundamentals.

The recovery in private consumption is losing momentum, dropping from an annual 5.9% in the 2021-2022 biennium to 2.0% in 2023-2024. The increase in financing costs counteracts the modest rise in income, net financial wealth, and household expectations.

Private consumption is mainly responsible for the slowdown in economic growth. The loss of consumer purchasing power, the rise in the cost of financing, the upturn in uncertainty and supply restrictions are conditioning the recovery in household spending, which will barely increase by 1.0% in 2022 and 0.9% in 2023.

The recovery in private consumption will gain momentum as vaccination progresses, the EU recovery package (NGEU) starts to boost demand and households consolidate the absorption of excess savings. Consumer spending will grow by 6.1% in 2021 and 6.8% in 2022.

A necessary condition for mitigating GHG emissions from road transport is its electrification. To maximise the contribution of the electric vehicle to meeting the decarbonisation targets, its diffusion must be accelerated and the share of fossil fuels in electricity generation must be reduced.