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In the past few weeks Turkey has been through bouts of significant financial turbulence. The Turkish lira has depreciated by 22% in August and by about 60% so far this year. An event of this nature in an emerging economy usually has effects on other emerging economies.
Over the last year, at BBVA we have been publishing a monthly report on the global geopolitical situation. In this report we have used a high-frequency event database scaled for Big Data to measure the intensity of the most significant conflicts and protests around the world.
IP grew by 5.6% (WDA YoY) in May, beating the consensus estimate (4.1%). April-May production and demand side data pointed at a modest slowdown economic activity in 2Q16 especially in ex-auto items, partly confirming the earlier easing signals from the confidence indicators. We expect some moderation ahead but we maintain o…
Consumer prices rose by 0.5% In June on monthly basis, leading annual inflation to climb to 7.64% from 6.58%. Although the food inflation resulted in a correction as we had already expected, the worrying outlook in the core prices drew a more negative picture. Annual food inflation accelerated to 6.3% from 1.8%, while core …
Durante la próxima década los países emergentes líderes en el crecimiento (los que denominamos EAGLEs) crecerán un 5% frente al 1.5% de los países desarrollados. ¿Cuáles son los retos que deberán afrontar? ¿Qué papel jugarán las clases medias en todo ello?