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‘Search for yield’ has emerged as the predominant driver of funds flows in the current low yield backdrop marked by a complicated global macro outlook and supportive central banks.
The dynamics of Global Investment Funds flows in 1Q19 can be characterized by a widening bond-equity divergence, and a visible moderation in inflows to EMs. Looking ahead, we expect EM outflows to continue at a moderate pace until global volatility eases. In a risk scenario, EMs to face more intense and persistent outflows.
In the 3Q14 Inflation Report released today, the Brazilian Central Bank (BCB) reduced its forecasts for GDP growth in 2014, from 1.6% to 0.7% (consensus: 0.3%), and added that the economy will expand by only 1.2% in 2Q15. However, the monetary …
