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The ECB took a decisive step in its monetary policy normalization journey today as it pre-announced a series of interest rate hikes, starting next month. The unanimous decision was accompanied by a notable upward revision to Euro Area’s inflation projections and a downgrade on the growth outlook
Under BRRD 2, European banks’ MREL deficit is €112bn (63% attributable to O-SIIs and non-systemic banks) and €188bn lower than 2018 results, mostly explained by issuances of €194bn during 2018–2019. Erosion of profitability is now critical, with interest expense increasing 2.3-3.2%. Basel IV significantly increase needs.
