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3Q21 GDP was better than expected and reached pre-COVID-19 levels. We modified our GDP growth forecast for 2021 from 7.5% to 10%. We expect a weak activity performance in 2022 (+3.5%). The recent announcement of an understanding with the IMF lowers the likelihood of more adverse risk scenarios.

Estimamos el efecto traspaso del aumento del tipo de cambio a los precios domésticos, el cual, en la actual posición cíclica de la economía, lo estimamos levemente sobre 7% en un plazo de un año.

¿Se ha ganado la guerra?.......Si. ¿Se ha ganado la paz?......Todavía NO