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Spain has committed to undertake a huge fiscal adjustment over the next few years. While the impact on the economy will depend on its composition, evidence suggests that it may be significant. Even if this is not the case, it will create social tension.

In the latest report on financial stability in the eurozone, the European Central Bank (ECB) analyzes the main vulnerabilities and risks, warns about the uncertainty in the macroeconomic and financial environment and its impact on the different economic agents.

The main component of domestic demand, private consumption, shows declines that are more consistent with a historical contraction of activity than with the expansion we are experiencing.