According to the Financial Stability Report (Banxico) and the Analysis on the Stability of the Mexican Financial System (IMF), the most relevant risk to the Mexcian financial system is that of additional and sustained tightening of financial conditions in a context of high inflation and lower prospects for economic growth.
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The paper presents a quasi-historiographical or “narrative” analysis of the most critical developments occurring prior to and through the last nine recessions in light of Minsky’s theory of financial instability.
Nonfinancial corporate debt-to-GDP is high, but debt-to-assets and debt-to-earnings remain moderate. Solid earnings, tax cuts and low real interest rates allow corporations to service their debt without problems. However, tighter financial cond…