Fiscal impact latest publications
COVID-19 is pushing the world economy toward a deep recession that could endure in the long-term. To support the economy, the Chinese authorities have approved various fiscal and monetary policy tools that are suited to the current circumstances.
This report analyzes the possible monetary and fiscal policy tools in front of the global economic recession led by COVID-19. We believe that fiscal policy should play a leading role. Regarding monetary easing, the interest rate cut progress should be more conservative while liquidity management should be enhanced.
The Q3 GDP growth slowed to 6% y/y, the lowest growth rate for the past three decades. The prospect of China’s economy hinges on the development of trade talks with the US at the current stage. The two sides recently tried to pursue a partial agreement first and leave the thorny part of negotiation to the next phases.
Venezuelan immigrants to Peru over the last three years (more than 800,000, equivalent to 2.4% of the Peruvian population) have had non-negligible impacts on aggregate demand and potential GDP.