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January 25, 2022

Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2022

After a 13.1% rebound in 2021, this year the economy will grow 2.3% in a context of sustained confidence weakness, withdrawal of economic stimuli and lesser external tailwinds, despite the progress in vaccination and the beginning of operations of new copper mines. For 2023, we expect a 3,0% expansion.

January 17, 2022

Peru | Social conflicts had an impact on economic activity in november

Economic activity grew 3.5% year-on-year in November. In an analysis comparing GDP figures for 2021 with those for 2019 (pre-health crisis situation), activity expanded 1.3% (October: 1.2%).

January 17, 2022

China | Unsynchronized business cycle calls for unsynchronized policy cycle

2021 Q4 GDP outturn together with December real economic indicators again confirmed the growth slowdown, calling for more easing measures in 2022.

December 10, 2021

Peru | More moderate hikes looking forward?

The Board of the Central Bank decided to increase the monetary policy rate from 2,00% to 2,50% in December. The Bank pointed out at the deterioration of expectations of domestic activity and a slower recovery of global activity, which could imply some moderation looking forward.
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  • Peru

November 30, 2021

Turkey | GDP growth reached 11.7% year-to-date

Turkish economy grew by 7.4% yoy in 3Q21, resulting in a growth rate of 11.7% in the first three quarters of the year. 2021 GDP growth will likely reach 10.5-11%, beating our current 9.5% forecast. Though, recent currency shock and accompanying tighter financial conditions will likely weigh on the downside for 2022 growth.

September 30, 2021

China | What’s behind the recent electricity crunch?

All eyes on China's electricity crunch. We analyze the reasons, the authorities' possible actions and economic impact of the recent power shortage.

July 20, 2021

China Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2021

Q2 growth momentum moderated but with a more balanced structure. 2H 2021 policy will remain neutral but accommodative with "no sharp turnaround" to be either aggressive easing or tightening.

July 14, 2021

Spain Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2021

Spain’s GDP growth estimate for 2021 is revised upwards up to 6.5%. Moving forward, the stronger progress of global activity, accumulated excess savings, the end of health restrictions and accommodative monetary and fiscal policies will boost GDP up to 7.0% in 2022.