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GDP growth forecast is revised moderately upwards to 4.6% in 2022 and 1.2% in 2023. The economy is holding up better than expected and the probability of recession is reduced. Activity will gain traction as NGEU funds are implemented and uncertainties dissipate, and will grow by 3.4% in 2024.

Turkish economy grew 3.9% y/y in 3Q22 (vs. 4% expected and 4.4% market consensus). We nowcast an annual GDP growth rate of 2.8% as of November, which puts a slight downside risk on our 2022 GDP growth forecast of 5.5%. We forecast 2023 GDP growth to be 3% with the expected boost in the first half of the year.

GDP grew 1.7% year-on-year in September. The decline that primary GDP has been showing steadily in September moderated, with the performance of mining standing out within it. The non-primary component, however, accentuated its tendency to weake…

The Chinese economy has experienced a bumpy V-shape recovery after the Shanghai lockdown was lifted, with Q3 GDP higher than expected.

The Colombian economy will enter a lower growth fase. Private consumption will stabilize at more sustainable levels in the medium term. Inflation will gradually moderate in 2023. The Central Bank will have space to start a gradual interest r…

GDP growth in 2022 is revised upwards (4.4%) and the outlook deteriorates in 2023 (1.0%). The economy could remain stagnant in the coming quarters, or register moderate declines, due to heightened uncertainty, higher inflation expectations and interest rates.

Chinese economy has experienced a bumpy recovery after the Shanghai lockdown was lifted. We lowered our 2022 prediction from 4.5% to 3.6%.

GDP growth for the second quarter of 2022 was 12.6% YoY, higher than BBVA Research's expectations and analysts' average. A slowdown in the economy is expected for the second half of the year, where the moderation of household consumption will p…

Economic activity grew 3.4% year-on-year in June. On the positive side, the primary component of GDP stands out. On the non-primary side, however, a moderation in the growth rate was observed.

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En Colombia, la demanda interna y la conyuntura externa han presionado al alza la inflación. La respuesta del Banco de la República, mediante la subida de tasas, apunta a una desaceleración saludable de la economía en 2023 y una recuperaci�…

Chinese authorities face "Impossible Trinity" of policy targets in 2022. They reverted to “old" economic growth engine-infrastructure, real estate and exports-to stimulate growth from Shanghai lockdown.

Due to the authorities’ expansionary monetary and fiscal policy this year, the economy started to gradually recover in May and June as the lockdown measures in Shanghai came to an end.