GDP grew 1.0% in 2017 and should accelerate gradually going forward. We maintain our GDP growth forecasts of 2.1% in 2018 and 3.0% in 2019. Political and fiscal developments will shape the future economic performance; the sustainability of the economic recovery requires the adoption of structural measures to bring the fisca…
geopolitical risk latest publications
The White House is committed to implementing the deal despite fierce opposition. Iran can increase oil production and exports, resulting in downward pressures on oil prices. However, impact is dependent on Iran's compliance and volatile dynamics in the region.