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April 29, 2025
The economy slowed and grew less than expected in Q1 2025 (0.6% q/q), mainly due to sluggish consumption and weaker-than-estimated investment momentum. Growth was accompanied by higher employment, although with fewer hours worked and mixed signals on productivity.
March 18, 2025
The Peruvian economy will grow 3.1% in 2025, 0.4 percentage points more than forecast in December. This change primarily reflects higher expected growth in the US and China and earlier and increased investment flows into some mining and infrastructure projects. Growth is projected to remain at 2.7% for 2026.
March 17, 2025
GDP growth is expected to slow to 1.6% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026, following three years of around 3% growth. The slowdown will be driven by tighter monetary conditions, a weaker fiscal impulse, and a less favorable global context, though the primary sector and labor market resilience will provide support.
January 29, 2025
Activity grew again by 0.8% q/q in 4Q24, driven by domestic demand despite weak net external demand. GDP growth was supported by an increase in hours worked, as productivity declined. Overall, GDP expanded by 3.2% in 2024, exceeding forecasts.
December 4, 2024
The Peruvian economy will grow 3,1% in 2024, 0,2pp more than expected in October. The revision mainly reflects the third quarter positive surprise. For 2025 we expect a 2,7% expansion, amid a challenging external context, but also when large infrastructure projects will begin construction.
July 12, 2024
Political events at the centre scene, in a year marked by key elections in many regions with two warlike conflicts with tragic consequences still underway, contrasts with the resilience of the global economy, which continues its very soft landing process of activity and inflation almost silently.
January 19, 2024
Given that one of the most relevant factors for the dynamism of the external motor of the Mexican economy will be the unfolding of interest rates in the US, the possibility of more inflationary persistence in that country could decelerate the external motor more than anticipated.
April 8, 2022
The government reached an enforceable agreement with the IMF, avoiding a default scenario. This is good news for Argentina, but its gradual approach does not change the overall macroeconomic scenario, nor does the absence of structural reforms create the conditions for a sustainable growth path.
October 21, 2021
Growth has slowed down in Q3 amid a number of headwinds, including regulatory storms, default risk of real estate giant, the electricity crunch and the authorities’ new campaign of “common prosperity” and social equality.
February 26, 2021
After the roller-coaster of last year, banking aggregates will normalize in 2021. Virus control will gain traction, highly impacted sectors will gradually reopen, and the overall economic recovery will solidify with the support of policymakers. These conditions will be highly favorable for the banking industry.
