Make a selection from the total of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
Order our publications chronologically from the most recent to the oldest, regardless of geography and/or topic matter.
Order our publications according to the number of readings by our users, regardless of geography and/or topic matter.
Economic activity is expected to grow 1,9% in 2023, six tenth of a percentage point less than our early-December forecast. This revision considers the social upheaval at the beginning of the year and higher political uncertainty, more than offsetting a milder global activity slowdown. A rebound of 3,0% is expected in 2024.
The Colombian economy will moderate its growth, from high levels of activity, mainly due to lower private consumption. GDP will grow 0.7% in 2023 and 1.8% in 2024, after a gradual recovery from the end of this year. Inflation will gradually decline, ending this year at 9% and 2024 at 5%.
The Latin American economy faces crosswinds in a scenario of disequilibrium, in line with international dynamics, where the main economic variables are still adjusting after the disruptive events of the most recent years.
At its January meeting, the Central Bank increased the monetary policy rate by 75 bp, bringing it to 12.75%. The vote was split, with 2 members voting in favor of a 25 bp increase and 5 in favor of 75 bp.
At its December meeting, Banco de la República increased the monetary policy rate by 100 basis points, bringing it to 12.0%. Although the vote was mostly for a 100bp increase, there was one vote for a 125bp increase and another for a 25bp incre…
Global growth will continue to decelerate gradually in 2023 and recover thereafter. Colombia's GDP will follow a similar path, mainly explained by lower household spending. Inflation will be lower over the next two years, allowing for lower interest rates from the end of 2023.
At its October meeting, Banco de la República increased its monetary policy rate by 100 basis points, taking it to 11.0%, its highest level since July 2001. The decision was unanimous, seeking to consolidate a positive signal to reassure local financial markets.
The Colombian economy will enter a lower growth fase. Private consumption will stabilize at more sustainable levels in the medium term. Inflation will gradually moderate in 2023. The Central Bank will have space to start a gradual interest r…
At its September meeting, Banco de la República increased the monetary policy rate by 100 basis points, bringing it to 10.0%, in line with BBVA Research's expectations. The decision was split, with one vote in favor of a 50 bp increase.
In the last 30 years, some Latin American economies have developed macroeconomic strengths that will help them face the financial turmoil caused by the Fed's monetary tightening
Today the world is struggling with seemingly contradictory news. On the one hand, high, persistent and generalized inflation, which has led Central Banks to raise interest rates. On the other hand, the global economy is slowing down and there is even mention of the risk of a recession. What is happening in the world?
En su reunión de julio, el Banco de la República incrementó la tasa de política monetaria en 150 puntos básicos (pb), llevándola al 9,0%. La decisión fue dividida,con un voto a favor de un incremento de 100 pb.
