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This year will go from less to more, but it could trend even more positively if investment gains momentum. This hinges on broader factors like the country's medium-term outlook concerning growth, fiscal matters, regulations, and inflation, among others.

The growth of the Colombian economy was exceptionally low in 2023, registering at 0.6%. The primary culprit for this outcome was the steep decline in investment. Concerns extend beyond the short term, as the low investment rates will constrain the future productive capacity of the economy and curtail its competitiveness.

There is tension in the public administration between how easy and fast public funds can reach businesses and families and the need to check that the funds will be used for the intended purpose. This causes delays in awarding subsidies and proj…

The Colombian economy expanded by 0.6% in 2023. The deceleration accentuated in the second half. Domestic demand contracted by 3.8%, weighed down by a decline in investment and the modest increase in private consumption. The external sector pro…

With a similar starting level two decades ago, Gross Fixed Capital Formation per working-age adult in Spain stood at 2,217 euros in 3Q23, 5.3% less than in 2001, while in the EU27 it reached 3,282 euros, 35.6% more than in 2001 and 48.0% more t…

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently published its updated global forecast with an upward revision that reflects moderate optimism for this year, plagued by geopolitical uncertainties.

Activity grew strongly in 4Q23 (0.6% q/q), despite the fall in most investment components. The improvement in activity is entirely attributable to the increase in employment, as productivity fell. All in all, GDP grew by 2.5% in 2023, slightly exceeding expectations.

Investment has yet to return to pre-COVID-19 levels, unlike other GDP components. Whereas real GDP in the third quarter of 2023 was 2.1 p.p. above its pre-crisis level, investment was 2.9 p.p. below.

2023 GDP growth concluded at 5.2%, in line with expectation and higher than 3% in 2022. We provide growth and policy outlook of China in 2024.

At this time, talks on the minimum wage increase for the year 2024 have already begun and this decision affects formal workers directly and indirectly all workers, as the minimum wage is fundamental to the country's economy

The slowdown of the economy is supported by a strong contraction of investment over the already weak levels reported in recent years, which is one of the main challenges for the future of the Colombian economy.

In this Presentation, we explain how geopolitics is becoming a key economic driver in the change of global value chains and the opportunities this brings to Mexican manufacturing production as well as exploring the regional investment opportunities in the country.