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February 27, 2025
Spain | What sectors are driving the increase in productivity within the country?
Productivity per hour worked has returned to the growth path experienced in the 2014–2018 period. Following a worrying stagnation during the two years leading up to the pandemic, this indicator got back to an annual growth rate of 1.1% between 2022 and 2024, while the same indicator stagnated in the wider EMU.
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February 24, 2025
Spain | More renewables to continue lowering costs
The increased penetration of renewable energies in Spain, especially solar and wind, has reduced wholesale electricity prices by 20% in the last three years and could cut them by a further 20% by 2030 if the ambitious PNIEC targets are met.
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February 24, 2025
Spain | A pending economic transformation
So far, the impact of the Next Generation EU funds on investment and productivity has been less than expected. However, with a broad consensus and structural reforms, Spain should be able to realize its potential and consolidate more solid, sustainable, and productive growth.
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February 17, 2025
Colombia | Growth in 2024: positive, but with an incomplete recovery
GDP grew 1.7% in 2024, led by domestic demand (+2.2%). Private consumption (1.6%) was driven by a rebound in durable goods and services, while fixed investment (3.0%) grew due to machinery, equipment, and civil works. In 2025, growth is expected at 2.5%, with better financial conditions but fiscal and global risks.
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February 17, 2025
Spain | Reducing the workday through agreements, investment, and productivity gains
The parliamentary process should amend the proposal so that the reduction of the workday happens gradually, with increases in productivity and through collective bargaining, minimizing distortions and avoiding additional inefficiencies in the labor market.
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January 7, 2025
Spain | Business loans: a matter of demand
Spanish companies have reduced their debt over the past decade, largely due to a contraction in bank credit. The performance of this type of credit has been negatively influenced by demand-side factors, especially weak levels of investment.
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December 26, 2024
Spain | Mea culpa
With Christmas and the start of the new year nearly upon us, it is always good to look back and review what has happened over the last 12 months. My goal here is to do a mea culpa on where we got things wrong when we laid out our economic scenario a year ago.
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December 23, 2024
Spain | The cross-border activity of Spanish banking
Banking activity, understood as the channeling of savings into investment, is not restricted only to the local market with its domestic sectors, but also a relevant part is carried out by banks in their international activity.
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November 29, 2024
Türkiye | A mild recession as of 3Q24
Turkish economy experienced a mild recession, in line with our expectations, contracting by 0.2% q/q in 3Q24 (vs. -0.2% q/q in 2Q24) and posting 2.1 y/y growth. Our monthly GDP indicator nowcasts point to a weak quarterly GDP growth for 4Q24, which could result nearly 3% y/y in 2024.
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November 22, 2024
Colombia | Investment leads the way, but growth remains moderate
Colombia's GDP grew 2.0% year-on-year in Q3 2024, driven by investment in civil works and machinery, though with moderate private consumption and a decline in public consumption. Growth is projected at 2.0% for 2024, with gradual acceleration in 2025, led by investment and goods consumption.
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November 19, 2024
Colombia | The day after: Insights from Colombia’s Q3 2024 GDP results
Colombia's economy advanced in Q3 2024, with investment outpacing GDP and service exports reaching record highs. Private consumption showed a mixed dynamic, while public consumption detracted from growth. The GDP growth projection for 2024 remains at 2.0%.
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