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We continue to think that Banxico will move in 25bp steps from here until the policy rate reaches 3.0% (in May 2021). We continue to expect that Banxico will slash rates further than currently expected, as Banxico keeps them close to 0% in real terms.

In the first case we maintain our forecast that inflation will maintain its downward path and will be within the target range by the end of the year; we reiterate our expectation of additional adjustments in the Selic rate. In Chile we estimate that inflation will end the year well above the central bank’s projection, which…