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With data as of October, our high-frequency indicator to measure household consumption in Colombia continues to show a decelerating trend. The moderation in spending was observed in both goods and services and was deepened by the high statistical base of the October 2021 VAT-free day.
Q2 GDP moderated to 6.7% y/y amid the trade war and domestic deleveraging, down from the previous reading at 6.8% y/y and in line with the consensus. In particular, outturns of trade, industrial production and investment are below the market expectations and the previous readings. Headwinds are from domestic deleveraging in…
