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We summarized the recent Chinese economic development as well as policy outlook in 2024. We also highlight the March 2024 "Two sessions".

The PBoC unexpectedly cut the 5-year loan prime rate by the largest amount today while maintaining the one-year loan prime rate which is deemed to be the policy rate unchanged.

RMB to USD exchange rate has cumulatively depreciated by 8% in 2023, amid expectation change of the US FED hike path. Look forward, we predict RMB to go back to around 7-7.1 at end-2023 and 6.7 at end-2024.

2023 will be the “Year of China” after the authorities lifted “zero Covid” policy amid the global economic slowdown. How to rebuild market confidence and repair the household and enterprises’ balance sheets become the main challenges in the pos…

Q2 growth momentum moderated but with a more balanced structure. 2H 2021 policy will remain neutral but accommodative with "no sharp turnaround" to be either aggressive easing or tightening.

China’s official factory gauge contracted in July after expanding for four consecutive months, missing economist expectations. Accommodative monetary as well as fiscal policy stances will be necessary in order to prop up domestic demand in the interim.

The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced that it would introduce a new mechanism to address risks in the financial system, starting from 2016. The new Macro-Prudential Assessment System (MPA) will enable the PBoC to evaluate a broader range of credit products, in turn strengthening the PBoC's supervision of the entire fi…

The People's Bank of China (PBoC) will deploy more monetary policy loosening in order to sustain economic growth within the target zone. Targeted unconventional policy tools will feature more prominently through the rest of the year, together …