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May 6, 2020

Monitoring Covid-19 pandemic using Big Data from the media

Media stress, positively correlated with new infections, has eased off lately. Sectors’ stresses vary depending on their nature. Politics is the center of the debate. Media stress related to governments diminishes as they start lifting lockdown measures, but there is a bias between the international and the national one.

October 7, 2019

The US-China Trade War: The New Normal

The ever-escalating trade war between the U.S. and China has become a "new normal" in the international trade scene. Since January 2018, the U.S. average import tariffs on Chinese goods have risen from 3 to 23 percent. Meanwhile, China's retaliatory import tariffs on U.S. goods rose from 7 to 24 percent.

July 22, 2019

Brazil Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2019

Brazil: recovery prospects remain in place, despite weaker growth at the beginning of 2019

April 11, 2019

Brazil Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2019

Growth recovery is slowing down in Brazil. The deceleration in the world economy, as well as slow and limited progress in the local adoption of economic reforms –particularly in the social security- will limit the economy’s capacity for growth in the coming years. We expect GDP to grow 1.8% in both 2019 and 2020.

January 22, 2019

Brazil | The economy will grow 2.2% in and 1,8% in 2020

The Brazilian economy will grow 2.2% in 2019 and 1.8% in 2020, stimulated by factors such as the expansive tone of monetary policy and the increase in confidence. However, prospects for growth recovery are now less positive, mainly due to the view that the global environment will be less favorable than previously expected.

October 17, 2016

U.S. | 2016 Presidential Election Chartbook

Clinton increases lead in post-debate polls, including key swing states such as Florida, Colorado, Pennsylvania and Ohio. Low number of undecided voters and disparate views on the candidates underlie growing polarization. Our state-level vote-share model still projects a Democrat victory in Electoral College despite nationa…
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September 19, 2016

The self-confidence effect on financial acumen

The formation of a new government in Spain and the current composition of Congress, where no party has a clear majority, has left Spaniards wanting the political parties to reach a consensus on the important issues of the day.

September 12, 2016

Brasil: hora de centrarse en la economía

Hace pocos días el Senado brasileño aprobó el cese definitivo de Dilma Rousseff, dejando oficialmente el gobierno del país en manos del exvicepresidente Michel Temer, que venía ejerciendo esa función interinamente desde abril.