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October 7, 2019

The US-China Trade War: The New Normal

The ever-escalating trade war between the U.S. and China has become a "new normal" in the international trade scene. Since January 2018, the U.S. average import tariffs on Chinese goods have risen from 3 to 23 percent. Meanwhile, China's retaliatory import tariffs on U.S. goods rose from 7 to 24 percent.

July 22, 2019

Brazil Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2019

Brazil: recovery prospects remain in place, despite weaker growth at the beginning of 2019

April 11, 2019

Brazil Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2019

Growth recovery is slowing down in Brazil. The deceleration in the world economy, as well as slow and limited progress in the local adoption of economic reforms –particularly in the social security- will limit the economy’s capacity for growth in the coming years. We expect GDP to grow 1.8% in both 2019 and 2020.

January 22, 2019

Brazil | The economy will grow 2.2% in and 1,8% in 2020

The Brazilian economy will grow 2.2% in 2019 and 1.8% in 2020, stimulated by factors such as the expansive tone of monetary policy and the increase in confidence. However, prospects for growth recovery are now less positive, mainly due to the view that the global environment will be less favorable than previously expected.

October 17, 2016

U.S. | 2016 Presidential Election Chartbook

Clinton increases lead in post-debate polls, including key swing states such as Florida, Colorado, Pennsylvania and Ohio. Low number of undecided voters and disparate views on the candidates underlie growing polarization. Our state-level vote-share model still projects a Democrat victory in Electoral College despite nationa…
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

September 19, 2016

The self-confidence effect on financial acumen

The formation of a new government in Spain and the current composition of Congress, where no party has a clear majority, has left Spaniards wanting the political parties to reach a consensus on the important issues of the day.

September 12, 2016

Brasil: hora de centrarse en la economía

Hace pocos días el Senado brasileño aprobó el cese definitivo de Dilma Rousseff, dejando oficialmente el gobierno del país en manos del exvicepresidente Michel Temer, que venía ejerciendo esa función interinamente desde abril.

July 19, 2016

U.S. | 2016 Presidential Election Chartbook

Favorability of 2016 election candidates is historically low. Economic and market-based indicators continue to suggest Democrat win in November, although geopolitical turmoil and volatility has reduced the lead for Democrats in our national vote-share model.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA