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The trends that will determine consumption are: a more digital environment (consumer-banking-commerce), a heterogeneous income recovery, lower savings, more stable weekday spending, greater importance of regions and intermediate cities, and a gradual aging of the population.
GDP growth will accelerate, reaching a rate of 2.0% in 2018 and 3.0% in 2019, driven by private spending. Inflation will converge to the 3.0% target and will allow the Central Bank to reduce its rate to 4.0% in the second quarter of this year. The exchange rate will depreciate in the second half of 2018.
