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Consumer prices increased by 5.5% in March, parallel to expectations and resulted in an annual inflation of 61.1% up from 54.4% the month before. Looking ahead, we expect consumer inflation to hover near 70% in 2Q and 3Q and decline to 50% at the end of the year, led by the favorable base effects.
Consumer prices increased by 4.8% in February and resulted in an annual inflation of 54.4%, (prev: 48.7%). Given the deepening cost push factors, uncertainty on commodity prices and inertia, CPI would surpass 60% in 2Q and 3Q, before falling down to a level at least above 40% on positive base effects in December.
Consumer prices increased by 11.1% in January parallel to expectations and resulted in an annual inflation of 48.7% up from 36.1% the month before. We expect consumer inflation to remain around 55% in 2Q and 3Q before falling down to 35% at the…
Consumer prices increased by 13.58% in December significantly above expectations resulting in an annual inflation of 36.1% up from 21.3% the month before. We expect consumer inflation to hover above 40% throughout the year before declining to n…
Consumer prices increased by 3.51% in in November, resulting in an annual inflation of 21.31% up from 19.89% the month before. We expect consumer inflation to surprise on the upside in the coming months with levels likely getting close to 30% t…
Consumer prices increased by 2.39% in October surprisingly lower than expectations, resulting in an annual inflation of 19.89% up from 19.58% the month before. We expect consumer inflation to be 19.5% at the end of the year, with risks clearly on the upside.
Consumer prices increased by 1.25% in September resulting in an annual inflation of 19.58%, up from 19.25%. We expect consumer inflation to increase further in October before declining to near 17% at the end of the year, with the positive base effects, where risks are clearly on the upside.
Consumer prices increased by 1.12% monthly and 19.25% annually once again above expectations on the back of a higher than expected food inflation. We expect consumer inflation to stay close to 19% till November and end the year at close to 17%,…
Consumer prices increased by 1.8% in July, higher than expectations on the back of upside surprise in food prices resulting in an annual inflation of 18.95% (up from 17.53% the month before). We expect consumer inflation to stay close to 18.5-1…
Consumer prices increased by 1.94% in June, remarkably higher than expectations on the back of reopening, resulting in an annual inflation of 17.53% (up from 16.59% the month before). We expect consumer inflation to hover around 18.5% till Nove…
Consumer prices increased by 0.89% in May, sizably lower than expectations, resulting in an annual inflation of 16.59% (down from 17.14% the month before). We maintain our year-end inflation forecast at 15% and expect the CBRT to start an easing cycle only very gradually in September.
Consumer prices increased 1.68% in April resulting in an annual inflation of 17.1% (up from 16.2% the month before). We maintain our year-end inflation forecast at 15% and expect the CBRT to start an easing cycle only very gradually in September.
