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December 8, 2020

U.S. Elections Chartbook. December 2020

As we predicted, Biden won the 2020 presidential election. Gains among non-college educated white men edged Biden to victory in swing states despite a lower margin of victory among non-whites.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

October 30, 2020

U.S. Elections Chartbook. October 2020

Motivating disaffected voters in key swing states could determine the election. Preliminary data suggests Democrats have commanding lead in early mail-in voting. Available early in-person voting shows Republicans have an edge.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

September 24, 2020

U.S. Elections Chartbook. September 2020

President’s approval ratings continue recovering, but remain below pre-Covid levels. With most states taking steps to accommodate the Covid-19 crisis, 78% of voters will have the option to cast an absentee ballot without any limitation.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

July 21, 2020

U.S. 2020 Presidential Election: No easy cures

The 2020 presidential election will be highly influenced by the health crisis, the economic recession, polarization and microtargeting. Based on polling data and in-house models, the Democrats are the odds-on-favorite to win the Presidency and the House, and could possibly flip the Senate.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

December 19, 2019

U.S. Elections Chartbook. December 2019

Seven candidates qualified for the Democratic debate on 12/19. Party nomination starts with Iowa Caucus on February 3, 2020. Super Tuesday on March 3; over 50% of delegates by end of March.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA