Two weeks ago, the private sector walked away from the annual meeting of the International Monetary Fund in Marrakech less worried than a year earlier, but with three lingering concerns: inflation and interest rates going forward, low global growth and the complex geostrategic environment.
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The current macrofinancial environment in the Latam region has both positive and negative factors affecting banking activity.
The growing mistrust between the East and the West is creating a geopolitical scenario that for many is reminiscent of the Cold War era; a time when domestic markets advanced under the weight of interventionist policies, and relations between c…
Inflation was bound to fall. As we look ahead, one of the main risks to economic activity in Spain may be that monetary policy will be too restrictive as inflation relents.
In March 2023, the balance of traditional bank deposits registered a real annual variation of -0.3% (6.5% in nominal terms) , while the current credit portfolio granted by commercial banks to the non-financial private sector (NFPS) exhibited a …
There was some suspense ahead of last Thursday’s meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) as to the size of the rate hike (between 25 and 50 basis points), with the ECB ultimately choosing the lesser of two evils.
How is Latin America affected by the recent difficulties facing certain banks in the US and Europe? In all honesty it is too early to tell, but any eventual impact would be indirect and would not happen via the Latin American banking system.
The recent financial turmoil in the US and Swiss banking system has exacerbated the already complex monetary policy and inflation outlook, following several years of economic shocks. The central banks have reacted well by separating anti-inflat…
The European Central Bank’s first meeting of the year was expected to be quiet and ‘business as usual’ despite the widely expected 50 basis point hikes in the benchmark interest rate. There were no surprises, but it is difficult for the central…
The Chinese economy has experienced a bumpy recovery amid a disordered relaxation of "zero Covid" policy and a housing market adjustment. We maintain our 2022 growth projection at 3.6% while lowering 2023 GDP growth to 5.0% from 5.2%.
With inflation at multi-decade highs across many countries due to various factors (pressures generated by the post-COVID recovery in spending, fiscal stimulus measures, bottlenecks) and exacerbated by the war in Ukraine, central banks have shifted towards a tighter policy stance.
So far this year, the euro has depreciated by more than 10% against the dollar, weakening in mid-July to the level of parity between the two currencies for the first time since 2002.