Once the last reform decision did not restrict the increase in spending and did not eliminate the actuarial imbalance, the sustainability of the pension system will involve a constant increase in taxation and transfers from central government, increasing the burden on the younger generations.
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The Government's forecasts in the Stability Program should make it clear that economic recovery will not be enough to consistently reduce the public deficit. Everything points to part of the expenditure having taken a structural leap and that the historically high level of tax revenue is only temporary.
Using simple calculations based on the figures published in the 2021–2024 Updated Stability Program (SP), it is clear that, with the assumptions contained in the SP, we will need a very ambitious roadmap to change certain long-term trends in pu…