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May 12, 2025
Spain has led EU growth since the start of the war in Ukraine. However, weak growth in Europe, persistent geopolitical tensions, and erratic U.S. trade policy overshadow the outlook.
May 6, 2025
The report analyzes U.S. reciprocal tariffs on Asian countries, with Cambodia and Vietnam hit hardest. Dual dependency puts many Asian economies in a strategic dilemma between the US and China. Using input-output models, it presents three scenarios (risk, pragmatic, optimistic) showing varying GDP impacts.
May 5, 2025
This year, the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB) in Washington were characterized by noise. The biggest concerns remain the impact of tariffs on the economy and on financial assets, especially the dollar.
April 22, 2025
The "Plan Mexico" is emerging as a key initiative to mitigate the tariff shock and reposition the country as an attractive destination for investment. Mexico holds a relatively favorable position among the five largest exporters to the United States, which could revitalize Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows.
April 14, 2025
The United States' trade strategy aims to reduce the nation’s bilateral trade deficits to zero. This target is difficult to achieve and the product of a misdiagnosis, which is currently eroding global growth and undermining stability.
April 14, 2025
The temporary suspension of some of the measures has brought relief, but Europe and Spain have taken the opportunity to outline their strategy for addressing the increase in trade barriers and potentially more-negative scenarios.
April 7, 2025
The last months of 2024 gave some glimpses of the challenges Latam could face in the coming years. However, looking beyond the first quarter of 2025, some—albeit not all—of these warning signs have faded.
April 7, 2025
In the 21st century, history is again being challenged by a wave of protectionism from the United States. President Donald Trump has just announced a barrage of tariffs that marks the country's biggest protectionist offensive in almost a century.
April 4, 2025
The 25% tariff that the United States will impose on automotive vehicles (beginning April 3) and auto parts (no later than May 3) will have an adverse impact on the global automotive industry. This is because automotive companies will have to increase production in the United States, reduce costs or raise prices.
April 3, 2025
On April 2, 2025, the White House issued an executive order introducing reciprocal tariffs aimed at regulating U.S. trade and reducing the trade deficit. A baseline 10% tariff will take effect on April 5, while country-specific reciprocal tariffs will be implemented starting April 9.
