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    BBVA Research Publications

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    February 7, 2025

    Mexico | For now, Mexico is successful at avoiding tariffs

    On Monday, February 3, the heads of state of Mexico and the US reached an agreement to put on hold for a month the imposition of tariffs that the White House pretended to apply to imports coming from Mexico.

    February 4, 2025

    China | What could go wrong with China’s new stimulus package?

    In this paper, we analyze what could go wrong in implementing the current jumbo size stimulus package to the Chinese economy and how to avoid these traps.

    February 2, 2025

    Mexico | 25% tariffs on Mexico: unlikely to be long-lasting

    On February 1, the White House announced that it would impose tariffs of 25% on imports (not all imports, which leaves open the question of whether they will be selective) on Mexico and Canada and 10% on China (in addition to those already faced).

    January 20, 2025

    Spain | Spain - U.S. trade relations in the face of possible tariff increases

    The direct impact on the Spanish economy of a possible increase in tariffs on U.S. imports is expected to be limited, given the relatively lower trade exposure with respect to the rest of the Eurozone countries. However, there are regions, sectors and companies that may be particularly affected.

    December 16, 2024

    Global | Tariffs, a trade instrument or a covert financial strategy?

    Both Mario Draghi in Europe and Donald Trump in the United States support the increase in tariffs on Chinese imports, but with objectives that seem to reflect different historical conceptions of the wealth of nations.

    December 9, 2024

    Spain | The impact on the economy of the increase in US trade tariffs

    It may well be negative in the short run, although it should be cushioned by the relatively low direct exposure of the Spanish economy to trade with the US. In the medium term, the outcome will be determined by the goals set by the new US President and the economic policy responses, both in the eurozone and in Spain.

    December 5, 2024

    Spain Economic Outlook. December 2024

    GDP growth in 2024 has been revised upward by 0.2 percentage points, reaching 3.1%, driven by stronger-than-expected performance in the third quarter and a slight acceleration in job creation in the fourth. Growth is projected at 2.3% in 2025 and could settle at 1.7% in 2026.

    December 2, 2024

    Global | Calm amidst uncertainty

    What does the second coming of Donald Trump mean for the perspectives of the global economy? The truth is it’s very hard to say.

    May 17, 2024

    Mexico | Mexico imposes tariffs on 544 products.

    Mexico imposes temporary tariffs between 5% and 50% on the import of 544 tariff items applicable to products from countries with which it does not have trade agreements, including China, and subsequently rectifies some tariffs.

    May 27, 2022

    Mexico | Reduction of tariffs: a good measure, with a limited anti-inflationary effect

    As part of the package against inflation and famine (PACIC) implemented by the federal government to contain inflationary pressures, the removal of tariffs on various food products for one year was announced.