trade war latest publications
Europe's economic situation is stabilizing following several quarters of deterioration caused by the uncertainties surrounding world trade and Brexit. It seems that there is chance of improvement and that the risk of recession has reduced.
Three-parts accommodation, one-part trade détente baked into 2020 outlook, but is it enough to avoid a downturn? Fed's Art of War: Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.
The financial markets enter the final stretch of the year with their eyes set firmly on the trade war and Brexit, meaning that the optimism surrounding the favorable resolution of both matters could be the stimulus that the world economy needs to regain momentum.
Several days ago, and for the third time this year, the Fed reduced the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to a range of between 1.5% and 1.75%. It is very unlikely that it will lower rates again in December.
National Corporate Financing Survey (ENAFIN 2018). The International Monetary Fund (IMF) updates its Global Financial Stability Report. Real estate services grow 1.3% in the first half of 2019.
The most frequently repeated words during meetings and conversations last week in Washington were: low growth, political interference, trade war, downside risk, negative rates, financial instability, green economy, uncertainty, unilateralism and fiscal policy.
In the past week, the International Monetary Fund's autumn economic forecast has been published with a downward revision of growth on a global level.
Having seen the update that various institutions have made on growth scenarios for the Spanish economy over the last week, I was reminded of a quote from Cormac McCarthy's book "The Road."