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December 10, 2019

Major challenges for the new European Commission

Europe's economic situation is stabilizing following several quarters of deterioration caused by the uncertainties surrounding world trade and Brexit. It seems that there is chance of improvement and that the risk of recession has reduced.

November 19, 2019

U.S. Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2019

Three-parts accommodation, one-part trade détente baked into 2020 outlook, but is it enough to avoid a downturn? Fed's Art of War: Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

November 18, 2019

The Cost of Complacency

The financial markets enter the final stretch of the year with their eyes set firmly on the trade war and Brexit, meaning that the optimism surrounding the favorable resolution of both matters could be the stimulus that the world economy needs to regain momentum.

November 11, 2019

The Fed stops for now

Several days ago, and for the third time this year, the Fed reduced the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to a range of between 1.5% and 1.75%. It is very unlikely that it will lower rates again in December.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

October 31, 2019

Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. October 2019

National Corporate Financing Survey (ENAFIN 2018). The International Monetary Fund (IMF) updates its Global Financial Stability Report. Real estate services grow 1.3% in the first half of 2019.

October 28, 2019

Negative Rates in Washington

The most frequently repeated words during meetings and conversations last week in Washington were: low growth, political interference, trade war, downside risk, negative rates, financial instability, green economy, uncertainty, unilateralism and fiscal policy.

October 21, 2019

Key Factors in the Global Scenario in 2020

In the past week, the International Monetary Fund's autumn economic forecast has been published with a downward revision of growth on a global level.

October 21, 2019

The Road

Having seen the update that various institutions have made on growth scenarios for the Spanish economy over the last week, I was reminded of a quote from Cormac McCarthy's book "The Road."