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January 23, 2020

Global Economic Risk Outlook. First quarter 2020

This report presents an analysis of those global shocks, mostly of low probability, which may have a severe impact on the economy. Short-term risks have diminished on the back of easing trade tensions and interest rate cuts, but concerns on structural issues remain high (de-globalization and climate change).

January 20, 2020

Relaxing Tensions in the Global Economy

The two recurring themes that have determined the course of the global economy and represented the greatest sources of uncertainty in 2019 have been protectionist tensions and the threat of a no-deal Brexit.

January 2, 2020

What is the outlook for the Spanish economy in 2020?

The Spanish economy ends the second decade of the 21st century with a GDP growth rate close to its potential and an unemployment rate of 14.3%. During the last three quarters of 2019, GDP has grown at an annualized quarterly rate of 1.6%.

December 10, 2019

Major challenges for the new European Commission

Europe's economic situation is stabilizing following several quarters of deterioration caused by the uncertainties surrounding world trade and Brexit. It seems that there is chance of improvement and that the risk of recession has reduced.

November 19, 2019

U.S. Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2019

Three-parts accommodation, one-part trade détente baked into 2020 outlook, but is it enough to avoid a downturn? Fed's Art of War: Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

November 18, 2019

The Cost of Complacency

The financial markets enter the final stretch of the year with their eyes set firmly on the trade war and Brexit, meaning that the optimism surrounding the favorable resolution of both matters could be the stimulus that the world economy needs to regain momentum.

November 11, 2019

The Fed stops for now

Several days ago, and for the third time this year, the Fed reduced the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to a range of between 1.5% and 1.75%. It is very unlikely that it will lower rates again in December.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

October 31, 2019

Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. October 2019

National Corporate Financing Survey (ENAFIN 2018). The International Monetary Fund (IMF) updates its Global Financial Stability Report. Real estate services grow 1.3% in the first half of 2019.