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July 1, 2019

Sintra, beyond the tweet of Trump

Central banking forums are particularly interesting, providing as they do an environment where one can take a step back from the volatile present and, even more importantly, take perspective and ask oneself where it is that we are heading.

March 4, 2019

Economic tension remains unresolved

One situation that is often used in works of fiction is the existence of an underlying, unresolved tension between two of the characters, let’s say dealing with feelings, which goes on to affect the development of the plot.

April 17, 2018

Mexico | Exchange rate and uncertainty

There are two major sources of uncertainty regarding the Mexican economy: the outcome of the NAFTA negotiations, and the doubts that always surround presidential elections. How are these factors affecting the peso?

January 19, 2018

Mexico | The collapse of NAFTA will increase the risks to world trade

This week sees the start of the sixth round of renegotiations of the North American Free Trade Agreement of NAFTA in Canada. According to members of the Mexican negotiating team, previous rounds have seen significant progress in a number of areas.

October 26, 2017

The Next Federal Reserve Chair: YOU’RE HIRED!!!

The FOMC is poised to undergo a nontrivial change in leadership and composition with four new regional Fed members rotating into voting roles and with a potential change in leadership. There are also three additional governor’s seats and potentially four vacancies –depending if Chair Yellen stays– that President Trump could…
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

July 3, 2017

The US reviews its banking regulation

Trump’s arrival has meant a change of tone in the discourse around financial regulation. The severe restrictions imposed by Obama on the banking sector in response to the profound international financial crisis are now a thing of the past.
  • Geography Tags
  • USA

June 19, 2017

Yellen steers the markets

On Wednesday 14 June, the Federal Reserve stayed true to the script by raising interest rates to 1.25%, although there was more to the move than just the rate hike. There are at least three elements from the recent meeting on monetary policy which deserve special mention.

March 27, 2017

The first Trump era G20

The G20 meeting which was held in Baden-Baden (Germany) on 17 and 18 March was not attended in person by Trump, although his influence was very present. Certain traditional G20 messages have executed an about-turn which reflects the new US position.