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Central banking forums are particularly interesting, providing as they do an environment where one can take a step back from the volatile present and, even more importantly, take perspective and ask oneself where it is that we are heading.
One situation that is often used in works of fiction is the existence of an underlying, unresolved tension between two of the characters, let’s say dealing with feelings, which goes on to affect the development of the plot.
There are two major sources of uncertainty regarding the Mexican economy: the outcome of the NAFTA negotiations, and the doubts that always surround presidential elections. How are these factors affecting the peso?
This week sees the start of the sixth round of renegotiations of the North American Free Trade Agreement of NAFTA in Canada. According to members of the Mexican negotiating team, previous rounds have seen significant progress in a number of areas.
The FOMC is poised to undergo a nontrivial change in leadership and composition with four new regional Fed members rotating into voting roles and with a potential change in leadership. There are also three additional governor’s seats and potentially four vacancies –depending if Chair Yellen stays– that President Trump could…
Trump’s arrival has meant a change of tone in the discourse around financial regulation. The severe restrictions imposed by Obama on the banking sector in response to the profound international financial crisis are now a thing of the past.
On Wednesday 14 June, the Federal Reserve stayed true to the script by raising interest rates to 1.25%, although there was more to the move than just the rate hike. There are at least three elements from the recent meeting on monetary policy which deserve special mention.
The G20 meeting which was held in Baden-Baden (Germany) on 17 and 18 March was not attended in person by Trump, although his influence was very present. Certain traditional G20 messages have executed an about-turn which reflects the new US position.