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The growing geopolitical uncertainties between the United States and China were, to some extent, a determining factor in the increased regulations by advanced countries to discriminate against the flow of funds from China. In this context, China began to turn towards the southern hemisphere when directing its investments.
In 2022 the activity in Uruguay will grow 4.7%, with an important statistical contribution that leaves the 4T21 and the contribution of investment, external demand and consumption to a lesser extent. The conflict in Europe has a moderate net positive impact through the rise in commodity prices for now.
The global economy keeps recovering in spite of the uncertain epidemiological context. World GDP growth should be 5.9% in 2021. The worsening health situation slows down economic activity in Uruguay, which will grow less than expected in 2021.
Uruguay has reduced its trade openness in recent years, which was boosted in 2020 by the irruption of the Covid-19, causing a substantial drop in external demand, which will explain much of the fall in Uruguay's GDP to 4.1% this year.
