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December's inflation increased to 3.4%, driven by a monthly variation of 0.3%. At 3.9%, core inflation rose by 0.3% month-on-month, influenced by used cars and shelter; the latter remains a key factor for the expected decline in inflation in the coming months.

RMB to USD exchange rate has cumulatively depreciated by 8% in 2023, amid expectation change of the US FED hike path. Look forward, we predict RMB to go back to around 7-7.1 at end-2023 and 6.7 at end-2024.

Even though there is a risk of a recession induced by the Fed given the fast increment in the federal funds rate that could raise it to 4.0% by the end of the first quarter of 2023, we shall recognize that the highest risk for the US and the gl…

As we expected, the FOMC left interest rates unchanged and enhanced their forward guidance on asset purchases. Today’s move represents only a modest shift in guidance and will not significantly alter the level and depth of financial accommodati…

In this publication you will find, on a weekly basis, our selection of the most relevant news regarding financial regulation.

U.S. Outlook: Is the Coronavirus and Boeings woes enough to ground the longest expansion in U.S. History? Fed attempts to keep U.S. economy flying high while fine-tuning its main engines.