Geostrategy latest publications
This Working Paper presents the Output-side greenhouse gas Emission Intensity indicator (OEI), the first consistent and internationally-comparable country-indicator of the GHG emission intensity from a production-perspective; that is, territorial GHG emitted per unit of goods and services produced in a given year.
On December 30, the EU and China reached an agreement to expand mutual investment opportunities, pending approval by the European Parliament in the second half of 2021.
December 31, 2020
China | EU-China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment: a game-changer to superpower game
EU and China announced the accomplishment of a long-awaited EU-China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (EU-China CAI) on December 30 2020, in a move to open up more investment opportunities between the two economies.
Over 10M people have been affected by Covid-19. Latin America remains in the spotlight. China's security law for Hong Kong worsened China-U.S. relations. Anti-racism movement spread globally. President Putin can have two more six-year terms. Libya’s war intensified. Israel’s annexation plans of West Bank caused tensions.
In May, the number of infected people by covid-19 exceeded 6M, America became the epicenter. In the US, mass protests after a black citizen was killed in police custody have spread nationwide. US – China relationship has worsened due to the situation in Hong Kong. The war in Libya has escalated. G7 meeting to be postponed.
COVID-19 remains in the spotlight. Many European countries, where new cases are declining, have started easing restrictions. In the US, new cases remain stable but the accusation exchange over the pandemic with China continues. The war in Libya and disputes related to Iran have intensified. The UK to initiate trade talks.
Coronavirus hits 180 countries. In the US, the epicenter, strict measures may continue till June. In Europe, it is top priority on the political agenda. G20 announced a united front against the pandemic. Tensions between China and the US due to the virus are easing off. The oil price war triggered a major fall in oil price.
The outbreak of Covid-19 will have a significant negative impact on economies at a global level with generalized shocks on supply and demand, therefore, we revised our GDP growth forecast to -4.5%. Fiscal objectives have to take second place; the most urgent is to underpin health systems and support workers.