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The U.S. airstrike against Iranian Quds Forces General Qassem Soleimani triggered high levels of uncertainty in the region as Iran threatened to take revenge and the U.S. warned of further retaliation. Iran retaliated with missile attacks against two U.S. bases in Iraq but U.S. de-escalated the situation.
The protests in Iraq, Lebanon and Iran against government policies triggered questions about the regional stability. Hong Kong pro-democracy candidates gained huge victory in local elections. Social unrest in Latin America intensified in some countries and they should be closely monitored.
November 26, 2019
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The text is a key source of information to enrich the analysis. News can be an important source of information on geopolitical events such as sanctions and foreign relations, we can also focus on critical challenges and how the media talks about them.
The US army killed ISIS leader al-Baghdadi. Meanwhile, Turkey brokered separate deals with U.S. and Russia to ensure a safe zone in northern Syria. The UK decided to hold general elections as the EU granted the country a Brexit extension until January 31. The US and China trade war eased with a “phase one” trade deal.
On the 70th anniversary of China, violent protests took place in Hong Kong. Meanwhile hope has increased for US-China trade talks. US House announced that would officially launch an impeachment inquiry against Trump. In UK, the Brexit agenda has intensified. Drone attacks against Saudi oil facilities have increased risks.
Protests in Hong Kong escalated further in August. Possible Chinese attempts to interfere in the political crisis in Hong Kong could trigger more risks. Meanwhile, China and the United States retaliated against each other with new tariffs signaling that the trade rift will continue for a while.
Massive protests have taken place in Hong Kong due to the extradition bill. Tensions between U.S. and China increased. Boris Johnson has been appointed as the new PM of UK. Iran related disputes are still alive. TANAP pipeline project that will carry natural gas to Europe via Turkey has been ended.
In June, the dispute between Iran and the United States faced with risky attempts including downing a U.S. drone. European political agenda will be worth monitoring even in the next month due to busy political calendar especially in the U.K. and in Italy. U.S. and China are seeking ways to reinstate trade talks.