Adem ?LER? works as an Economist at Garanti BBVA since January, 2018. His main responsibility is making macroeconomic analysis of Turkey.
He hold both BA and MSc degrees in Economics from Middle East Technical University (METU), Ankara. He is also pursuing his PhD study at METU. Before joining Garanti Bank, he worked as a Research Assistant at METU and as a Specialist in Economic Research Unit at Turk EximBank (Export Credit Bank of Turkey).
Consumer prices increased by 0.86% mom in August, far below the consensus and ours (1.3% Bloomberg vs. 1.4% BBVA Research). Annual inflation decreased from 16.65% in July to 15%, the lowest level in the last 15 months. We maintain our year-end forecast of 15% with downside risks.
Turkish Economy contracted by 1.5% in annual terms in 2Q19, better than market expectation but worse than ours (-2% Consensus vs. -1% BBVA Research). In quarterly terms, the economy grew at 1.2%, avoiding the “W” pattern but moderating from 1.6% QoQ in 1Q19. We still maintain our GDP growth forecast at 0.3% for 2019.
July 30, 2019
Employment vulnerability to the digital revolution: some stylized facts on five countries
We analyze the likelihood of job automation in a sample of emerging economies: Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Turkey. The average risk of automation ranges between 54% and 64. The countries show similar patterns in different aspects, such as distinctions by gender, age and education levels.