Agustín García
Agustín García
Lead Economist

Agustín García Serrador joined the Europe Unit of BBVA Research in June 2008. He is currently Lead Economist of the Modeling cluster, where he is responsible for the development and coordination of econometric models for economic analysis. He is also involved in the macroeconomic analysis of the eurozone as a whole and helps analyze the main factors and ensure consistency in relation to the global outlook.

Previously, he held the post of macroeconomic coordinator of BIAM at the Flores de Lemus Institute in Carlos III University in Madrid and was also professor of Macroeconometrics and Applied Economy at CEU San Pablo University. He has also taught on masters programs at both these universities. He has undertaken research in macroeconometrics and monetary and fiscal policy in the eurozone, with publications in Applied Economics, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics and Journal of Forecasting.

He has a Bachelor’s Degree in Economics and obtained a National Award for Excellence in Academic Performance in 2002. He received the Diploma for Advanced Studies from CEU San Pablo University, for which he was also awarded the 2004 Youth Prize from the Complutense University of Madrid.

Latest publications

The ECB took a decisive step in its monetary policy normalization journey today as it pre-announced a series of interest rate hikes, starting next month. The unanimous decision was accompanied by a notable upward revision to Euro Area’s inflation projections and a downgrade on the growth outlook
Overall, the relatively modest downward revision in growth projections and the delinking of the tapering from the rate rise scenarios allows the ECB to convey a hawkish message while freeing itself to make the decision on rates more data dependent
In this presentation, we show the modeling strategy proposed by BBVA Research to identify bottleneck shocks, differentiate them from other supply-side shocks, and calculate their impacts on the European and Spanish economies.