Searcher
Agustín García
Agustín García
Principal Economist
Madrid

Agustín García Serrador joined the Europe Unit of BBVA Research in June 2008. Currently, he is the Head Economist in the Global Economic Scenarios Unit where he handles macroeconomic analysis of the eurozone as a whole, as well as of its main members and the United Kingdom. He also helps analyse the main factors and consistency of the global situation.

Previously, he was the macroeconomic coordinator of BIAM at the Flores de Lemus Institute in Carlos III University in Madrid as well as a professor of Macroeconometrics and Applied Economy at CEU San Pablo University. He also taught master’s programmes in both of these universities.

Macroeconometrics and monetary and tax policy research in the eurozone with publications in Applied Economics, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics and Journal of Forecasting.

He has a Bachelor’s Degree in Economy and won a National Award for Excellence in Academic Performance in 2002, and he earned a Diploma for Advanced Studies from CEU San Pablo University, for which he also received the 2004 Youth Prize from the Complutense University of Madrid.

Latest publications

As expected, the ECB announced a moderate slower pace of net asset purchases under the PEPP for next quarter, as compared to that in the previous two quarters. The decision was taken by unanimity by the Governing council on the back of favourable financing conditions and slightly better inflation outlook
The BBVA GDP tracker allows us to measure the performance of economic activity in real time, including big data variables from transactions in BBVA Colombia. With the most recent data, we estimate that growth in the second quarter of 2021 will be between 12.4% and 14.3%.
A model, based on Camacho and Domenech (2012) and Aruoba and Diebold (2010), which are extensions of Stock and Watson (1991), was built to forecast Colombia's GDP in real time. Going forward, BBVA Research will continue to publish updates of the monthly results of this work.