Searcher
Agustín García
Agustín García
Principal Economist
Spain

Agustín García Serrador joined the Europe Unit of BBVA Research in June 2008. Currently, he is the Head Economist in the Global Economic Scenarios Unit where he handles macroeconomic analysis of the eurozone as a whole, as well as of its main members and the United Kingdom. He also helps analyse the main factors and consistency of the global situation.


Previously, he was the macroeconomic coordinator of BIAM at the Flores de Lemus Institute in Carlos III University in Madrid as well as a professor of Macroeconometrics and Applied Economy at CEU San Pablo University. He also taught master’s programmes in both of these universities.


Macroeconometrics and monetary and tax policy research in the eurozone with publications in Applied Economics, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics and Journal of Forecasting.


He has a Bachelor’s Degree in Economy and won a National Award for Excellence in Academic Performance in 2002, and he earned a Diploma for Advanced Studies from CEU San Pablo University, for which he also received the 2004 Youth Prize from the Complutense University of Madrid.

Latest publications

Overall, Mrs Lagarde’ first post-meeting press conference went as expected, with an outspoken communication style when talking about different issues not strictly related to monetary policy, and an unchanged line on the monetary policy stance.
Eurozone growth stabilized in 3Q19 thanks to the resilience of domestic demand, while the deterioration of industrial production and exports has halted. Our MICA-BBVA model projects still low growth in 4Q19. Core inflation has stepped in November, but it is early to tell if it will be sustainable.
The global slowdown extends into 4Q19, as some incoming figures continue to be weak despite a better tone on trade negotiations and lower brexit risks. Services and domestic demand continue to sustain growth while manufacturing and trade have stabilized in Q3, but confidence data for Q4 have been mixed so far.