Searcher
Carlos Serrano
Carlos Serrano
Chief Economist
Mexico

Carlos Serrano is Chief Economist at BBVA in Mexico. He oversees a team of economists conducting work on economics, financial markets and regulation. He is also member of the Asset and Liabilities and Regulatory Committees.


He holds masters and PhD degrees from the University of California at Berkeley, where he specialized in macroeconomics, international finance, and industrial organization. He obtained a B.S. in economics from Instituto Teconológio Autónomo deMéxico, ITAM.


In 2000 he was awarded the national prize on economic research, awarded annually by Banco Nacional de México.


Before joining BBVA, Carlos was executive vicepresident for regulatory policy at Mexico´s Banking and Securities Commission where he was in charge of designing regulation for banks, securities and derivative markets, broker dealers, and mutual funds. He was Mexico´s representative before the Basel and IOSCO committees.


He also worked at the World Bank where he was, among other positions, Country Economist for Peru, Paraguay, and Bolivia.


He has taught advanced macroeconomics and finance at ITAM.

Latest publications

The credit granted by banks remained the main source of funding for the private sector. Financial intermediaries have granted one third of the formal loan portfolio to mortgage loans over the past five years. Portfolio balances mirror patterns of economic activity at the end of 2019.
The 2021 Pre-Criteria guidelines for economic policy emphasizes the need to keep fiscal discipline; we think this should be done from a structural perspective to make it possible to boost public spending alongside a credible fiscal reform proposal that increases tax revenue and comes into effect after the sanitary emergency
Due to the uncertainty regarding its duration, it is difficult to estimate the impacts of the Covid-19 crisis on the flow of remittances to Mexico. This article makes an estimate based on the effects of the past global financial recession of 2008/2009 on remittance flows. Three scenarios are presented.