Searcher
Carlos Serrano
Carlos Serrano
Chief Economist
Mexico City

Carlos Serrano is Chief Economist at BBVA in Mexico. He oversees a team of economists conducting work on economics, financial markets and regulation. He is also member of the Asset and Liabilities and Regulatory Committees.


He holds masters and PhD degrees from the University of California at Berkeley, where he specialized in macroeconomics, international finance, and industrial organization. He obtained a B.S. in economics from Instituto Teconológio Autónomo deMéxico, ITAM.


In 2000 he was awarded the national prize on economic research, awarded annually by Banco Nacional de México.


Before joining BBVA, Carlos was executive vicepresident for regulatory policy at Mexico´s Banking and Securities Commission where he was in charge of designing regulation for banks, securities and derivative markets, broker dealers, and mutual funds. He was Mexico´s representative before the Basel and IOSCO committees.


He also worked at the World Bank where he was, among other positions, Country Economist for Peru, Paraguay, and Bolivia.


He has taught advanced macroeconomics and finance at ITAM.

Latest publications

Upward revision to our 2023 real GDP growth forecast to 1.4% (0.6% previously); we expect the economy will grow 2.2% in 2024. Private spending will drive growth this year and mitigate the slowdown in manufacturing amid external demand weakness.
This Agenda presents the 2023 dissemination schedule for economic indicators and relevant monetary policy events in Mexico and the US; dates of important events such as the meetings of various relevant international entities such as: World Economic Forum, World Bank and the IMF
In 2022, economic growth in Mexico was 3.1%, higher than what the consensus anticipated a year ago. I believe that this performance is explained, fundamentally, by four factors.