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Federico Daniel Forte
Principal Economist
Buenos Aires
Federico Forte is Principal Economist of BBVA Research Argentina since October 2019. Prior to joining BBVA, he was Advisor to the Governor of the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), parliamentary advisor specialized in fiscal issues at the National Congress, and research assistant in the Economics Research team of HSBC Bank Argentina.
Federico is since 2015 professor of Economics at the University of Buenos Aires (UBA). He has also been professor of Monetary Theory and Policy, Macroeconomics and Statistics in undergraduate and graduate courses at UBA and Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.He is in charge of monitoring the monetary conditions of the Argentine economy and the FX-market.He holds a bachelor's degree (Magna Cum Laude Honours) and a master’s degree in Economics from University of Buenos Aires.Latest publications
2023 is a year with a heavy electoral calendar, in a context of growing social concern regarding macroeconomic imbalances and a historic drought. We expect sustained pressures in the FX market throughout the year, with consequences on the GDP and financial volatility.
The main macroeconomic imbalances, specially the fiscal one, have been curbed in the second half of 2022 after the change of Economy Minister. It will be crucial to maintain this dynamic during the next election year. The current drought entails a severe risk for the agricultural sector and the exports of 2023.
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With a better than expected 2022, Argentina will face a complex 2023, with a drop in the level of activity and high inflation that will lead to a stagflation scenario. The main challenges will be the rollover of debt in the local market for challenging amounts and the vulnerability of the FX rate scheme.
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