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Iván Martínez Urquijo
Iván Martínez Urquijo

Senior Economist

•B.A. in Economics, Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM)  
•MsC in Finance, ITAM
•Diploma in Econometric Models, ITAM

Latest Publications

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. January 2018

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Banxico has updated its report on housing loan indicators. Payroll credit slows despite improvement in its granting conditions. Alert from the authorities about participation in “Initial Coin Offerings” schemes (ICO). The Financial System Stability Council (CESF) updates its balance of risks.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. December 2017

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The total credit balance through cards slows its momentum during 2017. Car loans accelerated their momentum, offering better conditions as regards amounts and terms. The International Monetary Fund renews Mexico’s Flexible Credit Line. The Mexican financial system has the capacity to face adverse events. New technologies and financial inclusion in Latin America.

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

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The economy contracted in the third quarter of the year. The preliminary QoQ growth rate, annualised, was negative at 0.8%

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Lower US corporate taxes would not reverse Mexico’s competitive advantage in manufacturing

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Mexico would continue to be more competitive than the United States in the production of manufactured goods even if the latter were to cut its corporate tax rate from 35% to 20%. The difference in labor costs alone is a sufficient factor for Mexico to remain more competitive than the US

Units:
Geographies:Mexico USA

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. November 2017

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The global financial system faces lesser risks, but vulnerabilities and regulatory challenges persist. In September house prices rose less than inflation. Negative differentiation of domestic assets due to uncertainty caused by the renegotiation of NAFTA. Adjustments to the risk diversification rule

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. October 2017

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Update of the risk assessment by the Financial System Stability Council (CESF). The value of construction companies’ activity fell 2.7% in July 2017. Losses for Emerging Market assets on investor expectations factoring in an additional hike by the Fed towards year end

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Mexican Financial System. September 2017

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Housing prices rise 6.88% in the second half of 2017. The Bank of Mexico announces a slow-down in the economy’s financing sources and uses. The rate of growth of the personal loan portfolio continues to slow. Credit card financing consolidated its recovery in 2016

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2017

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We consider that the better than expected data for the first half and the momentum of external demand, observed at the time, are sufficient to upwardly revise our growth forecast for this year to 2.2%. By 2018, we anticipate GDP growth of 2%

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Mexican Financial System. August 2017

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The housing inventory continues to fall and is located below 250 thousand units. CNBV publishes its Report on Financial Savings and Financing in Mexico with figures to March 2017. Banco de México publishes a tool to analyse the conditions of automotive loans. Key regulation issues for Fintechs and financial services

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Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Mexico | Banxico set to take a pause

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The next monetary policy meeting will be held on Thursday August 10th. We expect Banxico to hold the reference rate at 7.0% inaugurating a period of monetary pause

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Geographies:Mexico

Available in English

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Mexico | The US looks to keep the essence of NAFTA, but renegotiations will be complicated

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Even though the Summary of Objectives for the NAFTA Renegotiation contains some rhetoric elements among which the goal of reducing the US trade deficit with Mexico and Canada stands out, such objectives do not suggest deep changes to NAFTA

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Geographies:Mexico USA

Available in Spanish

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. July 2017

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Mortgage rates are firmly on the rise. The CNBV has released an update on its Financial Inclusion Report. Banxico has updated its report on housing loan indicators. Payroll loans have become more sluggish in spite of the improved conditions as regards the sum borrowed and the lending rate

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English

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Units:
Geographies:Mexico

Available in English

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Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. June 2017

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The value generated by construction companies rose 3.8% in the first quarter. Companies moderate their use of financing due to their perception of less favourable terms in its cost. New tool for analysing personal lending conditions

Units:
Geographies:Mexico
Topics:Banks

Available in Spanish, English