Juan Manuel Manías
•M.A. in International Economics Relations (UBA, Argentina)
•B.A. in Economics (UBA, Argentina, Magna Cum Laude Honours)
•Previous work experience includes Banco Francés Financial Area since 2000.
•Joined Economic Research Department in 2009
In September, total consumption with BBVA cards fell 9.4% YoY in real terms. Most of the categories contracted their average real spending level per transaction, remaining below the pre-pandemic level. Our indicators point to a flattening of economic activity.
With a better than expected 2022, Argentina will face a complex 2023, with a drop in the level of activity and high inflation that will lead to a stagflation scenario. The main challenges will be the rollover of debt in the local market for challenging amounts and the vulnerability of the FX rate scheme.
In August, total consumption with BBVA cards fell 2.9% YoY in real terms, thus returning to negative ground after July's increase. Most of the items contracted after the good performance they had had last month.