Head of Economic Analysis
Rafael Doménech is the Head of Economic Analysis of BBVA Research and Professor of Economics at the University of Valencia.
MSc in Economics, London School of Economics. PhD in Economics, University of Valencia. Director General at the Economic Bureau of the Spanish Prime Minister (2007-8). He also has been director of the International Economic Institute and member of the Advisory Board of the University of Valencia. External researcher of the Spanish Ministry of the Economy and Finance and the Fundación Rafael del Pino. He was appointed by the Spanish Government as a member of the Expert Committee on the Sustainability Factor of the Public Pension System.
Fellow of the Spanish Economy Association. He has been member of the editorial boards of the main Spanish journals in Economics. He has published numerous articles in well-known international scientific journals on economic growth, human capital, business cycles, and fiscal and monetary policies. He is author of two books on the Spanish economy: The Spanish Economy: A General Equilibrium Perspective (Palgrave MacMillan) and En Busca de la Prosperidad (Deusto).
Over the last few months, there has been an interesting debate on the cyclical position of the Spanish economy, its potential growth and the output gap.
Our GDP growth forecast for Portugal has been slightly revised downwards to 1.5% 2019. The Portuguese economy must successfully face many long-term challenges to seize the opportunities of the digital revolution
Eurostat has just confirmed that Spain closed 2018 with a public deficit of 2.5% of GDP, six percentage points less than in 2017. The reduction of the deficit at a time of growth like the present one is good news, particularly because Spain needs to improve its fiscal margin as soon as possible in order to handle less favorable economic conditions in the future.