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Rafael Doménech

Rafael Doménech is Head Economist of Macroeconomic Analysis at BBVA Research and Professor of Economics at the University of Valencia.

 

Previously, he has been Director General and Deputy Director of the Economic Bureau of the Spanish Prime Minister (2007-8). As well, He has worked as external consultant in the OECD, the European Commission and the Fundación de Economía Analítica. He also has been director of the International Economic Institute and member of the Advisory Board of the University of Valencia. In addition, he has been external researcher of the Spanish Ministry of the Economy and Finance and the Fundación Rafael del Pino and member of Public Policy Advisory Group of UNESPA and Expert of the AVIVA Institute of Savings and Pensions. He was appointed by the Spanish Government as a member of the Expert Committee on the Sustainability Factor of the Public Pension System.

 

Fellow of the Spanish Economy Association. He has been member of the editorial boards of the main Spanish journals in Economics. Current member of the editorial committee of Monetaria.

 

He has published numerous articles in well-known international scientific journals on economic growth, human capital, business cycles, and fiscal and monetary policies. His most recent book on the Spanish economy, titled En Busca de la Prosperidad, has been jointly written with Javier Andrés.

 

MSc in Economics, London School of Economics and PhD in Economics, University of Valencia.


Latest Publications

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The current expansion of the Spanish Economy

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Since 2014, Spain has been growing at rates higher than those of most other European countries. During these years, Spain has recovered the competitiveness lost before the crisis. Inflation, unit labour costs and mark-ups have performed better than in the euro area as a whole, resulting in strong export growth. In 2017, exports were 35 per cent above the 2007 levels.

Geographies:Spain

Available in English

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Deepening EMU to create opportunities and increase competitiveness and growth in the EU

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Despite the progress in improving the governance in the last years, the present architecture of EMU is not enough to deal properly with future crisis and face the challenges of the on-going digital revolution. A genuine monetary, fiscal, banking and economic union, with a non-constrained interaction between monetary and fiscal policies.

Available in English

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Spain | Deciding factors in the 2017 economic cycle

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This watch is evaluating the structural factors that shed light on the cyclical behaviour of the Spanish economy in 2017, estimating how they contributed to the annual growth rate of macroeconomic variables such as GDP or salaries.

Available in Spanish

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Financial and Fiscal Shocks in the Great Recession and Recovery of the Spanish Economy

Document Number 18/08

By , , , ,

In this paper we develop and estimate a new Bayesian DSGE model for the Spanish economy that has been designed to evaluate different structural reforms.

Available in English

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More spending on pensions

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The negotiation of the Spanish National Budget has restored the updating of pensions with the inflation for 2018 and 2019 and has delayed the entry into force of the Sustainability Factor (FS from its Spanish initials) until 2023. Although it would be wise to be prudent and wait for the recommendations of the Toledo Pact.

Available in Spanish, English

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The education level of the population of Spain and its regions. Update to 2016

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Using data from the Economically Active Population Survey (EPA), this study expands the annual series on the education level of the population of Spain and its regions up to 2016 that were created by de la Fuente and Doménech (2016) for the period between 1960 and 2011.

Available in Spanish

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Let's not put the future of pensions at risk

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Pensions are again at the heart of an intense debate. Adjustment for inflation and the repeal of the 2011 and 2013 reforms are among the demands that are putting the sustainability of the system, and consequently the sufficiency of future pensions, at risk.

Geographies:Spain
Topics:Pension

Available in Spanish, English

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The impact of technological change and the future of employment

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In this presentation, held at the 4th Tax and Finance Law Meeting at the Tax Studies Institute, an overview and history are given of the effects of technological progress. The effects of Industrial Revolution 4.0 are analysed and public policies are addressed, as well as the management of technological and digital transformation.

Available in Spanish

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Pensions and private savings

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In the last few weeks, the debate on private savings as an instrument to supplement public pensions has again intensified. Although this has always been a topic for discussion and analysis, the recent cause was the royal decree that will enable the amount saved in pension plans to be redeemed after 10 years.

Available in Spanish, English

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Continuing to improve the public pension system

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The public pension system is a fundamental pillar of the welfare state. And for it to continue being so, it is necessary to modernise it and adapt it to the changes being undergone by Spanish society. Fortunately more and more people are reaching retirement age and are doing so with a longer life expectancy.

Available in Spanish, English

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The impact of technological change and the future of employment

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This presentation provides a panoramic and historical perspective on the the effects of technical progress; it analyses the effects of the fourth industrial revolution; and talks about the different policies to regulate the changes of this technological and digital transformation.

Available in Spanish

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Digital transformation and employment

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The effects of automation, artificial intelligence, big data and the internet of things on future employment and social wellbeing are full of uncertainty.

Available in Spanish, English

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Uncertainty and economic projections

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The political crisis in Catalonia, and its effects on recovery, has in recent weeks cast a shadow over the economic debate, specifically now that the world economy and Europe are growing in a robust, stable and very synchronized manner. We stand before a situation without precedent.

Geographies:Spain

Available in Spanish, English

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Pensions, economic growth and welfare in advanced economies

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In this presentation we analyse the effects of pension systems on growth and welfare, seeking an efficient balance between contributiveness, distortions, incentives, and equality and insurance against risks. PAYG systems should remain a fundamental part of the welfare state, using notional accounts and minimum pensions to reduce inequality and the risk of social exclusion.

Geographies:Global

Available in English

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The Spanish Labor Market: Reform Achievements and Challenges

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We analyse the main characteristics of the Spanish labour market, its performance during the crisis, the macroeconomic effects of the reforms since 2012, and its challenges during the current recovery. High levels of unemployment, temporary employment and inequality call for further measures to achieve a more efficient, equitable and inclusive labour market.

Geographies:Spain

Available in English