Seda Guler Mert
Seda Guler Mert
Principal Economist

Seda Guler works as a Principal Economist and has been within the team since the start of 2012. Her current responsibilities cover specifically the macroeconomic analysis of Turkey together with the update of several econometric models and the management of the whole team including financial stability, politics&geopolitics and quantitative analysis&economic modeling.

She made a major degree in Economics and a minor degree in Mathematics at Middle East Technical University (METU), Ankara. She also made her Master’s degree in Financial Engineering at Bogazici University, Istanbul.

Latest publications

We analyze the likelihood of job automation in a sample of emerging economies: Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Turkey. The average risk of automation ranges between 54% and 64. The countries show similar patterns in different aspects, such as distinctions by gender, age and education levels.
IP declined by 1.3% yoy in calendar adjusted terms in May, slightly better than market expectation (-2%). Hence, the annual contraction in IP (c.a.) decelerated further from -4.7% in 1Q19 to -2.6% in the first two months of 2Q19. In absence of new shocks, we maintain our GDP growth forecast at 0.3% for 2019.
Consumer prices increased by 0.03% in June, lower than consensus but slightly higher than ours (0.2% Bloomberg vs. -0.15% BBVA Research). Supported by the base effects, annual inflation declined to 15.7% from 18.7% in May.