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Vanessa Belapatiño

Vanessa Belapatiño is a Research Economist at BBVA Peru since October 2015. She is focused in monitoring and assessing macroeconomic variables, as well as forecasting these variables using econometric models and financial programming.

 

She was previously analyst in the Economic Studies area in an economical consultancy company in Peru, see topics about labor market, taxes, and market studies.

 

Her research interests are focused on macroeconomic and applied economics, and he has published on these subjects.

 

She has a Bachelor degree in Economics from the Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú (Lima, Peru). She has taken courses in Master of Economics in the same university.


Latest Publications

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

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For 2018 we foresee GDP growing by around 3.5% (and 3.8% in 2019). The increase of just over a percentage point in growth will come about in a context in which the international panorama continues to be favourable for the Peruvian economy. On the domestic front, as well as the return to normal of weather conditions, there will be a fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

By , , , , ,

For 2018 we foresee GDP growing by around 3.5% (and 3.8% in 2019). The increase of just over a percentage point in growth will come about in a context in which the international panorama continues to be favourable for the Peruvian economy. On the domestic front, as well as the return to normal of weather conditions, there will be a fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Real Estate Outlook 2017

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Apartments sales in Lima was reactivated in 2017 after a period of uncertainty related to the general elections, especially since the third quarter, when the economy began to show some signs of recovery. However, according to the number of purchase searches carried out on the internet, sales would moderate in 2018.

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Advances in digitalisation

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Peru is still lagging behind the region in the process of digitalisation. However, there have been advances such as the increased use of the internet by families, a reduction in the concentration of companies offering internet services and improvements in infrastructure. Going forward, it is anticipated that these favourable trends will continue.

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

The economic outlook is improving in the second half of the year. The Peruvian economy will grow at around 2.5% yoy in the second half of the year (and at around the same rate for 2017 as a whole), with increased support from domestic demand. For next year, GDP will grow at close to 4% yoy. This forecast is subject to the fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

The economic outlook is improving in the second half of the year. The Peruvian economy will grow at around 2.5% yoy in the second half of the year (and at around the same rate for 2017 as a whole), with increased support from domestic demand. For next year, GDP will grow at close to 4% yoy. This forecast is subject to the fiscal stimulus.

Units:
Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We project low growth this year with a rebound in 2018, driven by reconstruction and infrastructure spending.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We project low growth this year with a rebound in 2018, driven by reconstruction and infrastructure spending.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Presentation Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection for this year by a percentage point to 2.5%. This adjustment reflects the fact that the three local risks we indicated in our February report have finally materialised: the weather problems continued, the delay in the major infrastructure construction projects continued and finally, business confidence dropped even further.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection for this year by a percentage point to 2.5%. This adjustment reflects the fact that the three local risks we indicated in our February report have finally materialised: the weather problems continued, the delay in the major infrastructure construction projects continued and finally, business confidence dropped even further.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. First Quarter 2017

By , , , , ,

We have revised our growth projection downwards, from 4.1% to 3.5%. The delay in infrastructure construction, one of the main risk factors considered in the report that we published last quarter, materialised in early 2017.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Fourth Quarter 2016

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We estimate that the Peruvian economy will grow by about 3.9% in 2016 and by 4.1% in 2017 when infrastructure projects will provide support.

Units:
Geographies:Peru Latin America

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2016

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We stand by our GDP growth forecasts for the Peruvian economy of 3.6% in 2016 and 4.3% in 2017. Higher mining production and the implementation of large-scale infrastructure works will shore up the growth in GDP over the next few quarters.

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Geographies:Latin America Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Peru | Internet searches and sales projections of departments in Lima

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This report presents a purchasing interest index regarding the buying of apartments for the city of Lima (IICDG), which has been developed using information provided by Google Trends. There is evidence that the IICDG anticipates movements (by five quarters) and that this improves its ability to predict transactions in the real estate sector

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Geographies:Peru

Available in Spanish, English

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Paraguay Economic Outlook First Half 2016

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Growth of around 3.0% in 2016 and 2017. Domestic demand, due to infrastructure projects, will be the main driver of growth. Lower depreciation of the currency but with episodes of volatility. Inflation will continue to be contained around the mid-range of the target. Central Bank would keep its policy monetary rate. Main risks: more pronounced slowdown in Brazil and China.

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Available in Spanish, English